What is MRNJ's Intrinsic value?

Metatron Inc (MRNJ) Intrinsic Value Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 4, 2025, Metatron Inc's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $0.00 to $0.03 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.

Valuation Method Fair Value (USD) Implied Upside/Downside
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) $0.03 +25294.4%
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) $0.02 +16874.5%
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) $0.00 +1922.6%
Earnings Power Value $0.01 +10263.5%

Is Metatron Inc (MRNJ) undervalued or overvalued?

With the current market price at $0.00, the stock appears to be significantly undervalued.

Understanding Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Metatron Inc's intrinsic value, including:

  1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF): Values the company based on projected future cash flows
  2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM): Values the company based on expected future dividend payments
  3. Earnings Power Value (EPV): Values the company based on its current earnings power, assuming no growth

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.

WACC Component Low High
Long-term bond rate 3.9% 4.4%
Equity market risk premium 4.6% 5.6%
Adjusted beta 0.33 4.49
Cost of equity 5.4% 30.0%
Cost of debt 5.0% 5.0%
Tax rate 26.2% 27.0%
Debt/Equity ratio 22.7 22.7
After-tax WACC 3.8% 4.8%

Valuation Methods

1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Valuation

Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:

  • Forecast Period: 5-year DCF and 10-year DCF
  • Terminal Growth Rate: 0.0% (range: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Discount Rate: 4.3% (range: 0.0% - 9.3%)

Key Projections:

  • Revenue growth from $0 (FY12-2021) to $0 (FY12-2031)
  • Net profit margin expansion from -9990% to -73%
  • Capital expenditures maintained at approximately 0% of revenue
DCF Model Fair Value Enterprise Value % from Terminal Value
5-Year Growth $0 $3M 82.8%
10-Year Growth $0 $4M 74.3%
5-Year EBITDA $0 $0M 72.8%
10-Year EBITDA $0 $1M 32.9%

2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:

Multi-Stage DDM:

  • Current payout ratio: 0.0%
  • Stable payout ratio: 90.0%
  • Growth transition: 5 years
  • Cost of equity: 17.7%
  • Long-term growth rate: 0.5%
  • Fair value: $-0.01 (-9450.3% from current price)

Stable DDM:

  • Stable payout ratio: 70% (Low) to 90% (High)
  • Cost of equity: 30.0% (Low) to 5.4% (High)
  • Long-term growth rate: 0.0% (Low) to 1.0% (High)
  • Fair value range: $0 to $0
  • Selected fair value: $0.00 (1922.6% from current price)

3. Earnings Power Value (EPV)

EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.

EPV Component Value
Normalized Earnings $0M
Discount Rate (WACC) 4.8% - 3.8%
Enterprise Value $1M - $2M
Net Debt $0M
Equity Value $1M - $2M
Outstanding Shares 152M
Fair Value $0 - $0
Selected Fair Value $0.01

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Value
Market Capitalization $0M
Enterprise Value $0M
Trailing P/E 0.57
Forward P/E 0.57
Trailing EV/EBITDA 4.95
Current Dividend Yield 62.96%
Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) 0.00%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 22.70

Investment Decision Framework

To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:

  1. Forecast Certainty: DCF methods rely on long-term projections, while earnings power value focuses on current normalized earnings
  2. Business Model Alignment: Dividend models are more appropriate for mature companies with established dividend policies
  3. Historical Accuracy: How well each method has predicted fair value historically

Valuation Weight Matrix

Valuation Method Weight Weighted Value
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) 37% $0.01
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) 31% $0.00
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) 19% $0.00
Earnings Power Value 12% $0.00
Weighted Average 100% $0.02

Investment Conclusion

Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Metatron Inc's weighted average intrinsic value is $0.02, which is approximately 16402.1% above the current market price of $0.00.

Key investment considerations:

  • Strong projected earnings growth (-9990% to -73% margin)

Given these factors, we believe Metatron Inc is currently significantly undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.