As of June 19, 2025, Maestrano Group PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $12.50, this represents a potential upside of -4869.2%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -1826.8% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -4869.2% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.8% - 8.2% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $2 million in 06-2021 to $106 million by 06-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 48.7%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 06-2021 | 2 | 94% |
| 06-2022 | 4 | 138% |
| 06-2023 | 9 | 116% |
| 06-2024 | 14 | 60% |
| 06-2025 | 20 | 47% |
| 06-2026 | 29 | 43% |
| 06-2027 | 40 | 37% |
| 06-2028 | 52 | 30% |
| 06-2029 | 68 | 30% |
| 06-2030 | 86 | 28% |
| 06-2031 | 106 | 23% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -60% in 06-2021 to -50% by 06-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 06-2021 | (1) | -60% |
| 06-2022 | (2) | -57% |
| 06-2023 | (5) | -56% |
| 06-2024 | (8) | -54% |
| 06-2025 | (11) | -53% |
| 06-2026 | (15) | -52% |
| 06-2027 | (21) | -51% |
| 06-2028 | (27) | -51% |
| 06-2029 | (34) | -51% |
| 06-2030 | (44) | -51% |
| 06-2031 | (54) | -50% |
with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 5% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 06-2022 | 0 |
| 06-2023 | 0 |
| 06-2024 | 0 |
| 06-2025 | 1 |
| 06-2026 | 1 |
| 06-2027 | 1 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 122 |
| Days Inventory | 100 |
| Days Payables | 41 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | (3) | (1) | 0 | 1 | (3) |
| 2023 | (6) | (1) | 0 | 1 | (6) |
| 2024 | (9) | (2) | 1 | 2 | (10) |
| 2025 | (13) | (3) | 1 | 2 | (14) |
| 2026 | (18) | (4) | 1 | 3 | (19) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -1826.8% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -4869.2% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Maestrano Group PLC (MNO.L) a buy or a sell? Maestrano Group PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Maestrano Group PLC (MNO.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -4869.2%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $12.50.