As of June 8, 2025, Mondi PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.00, this represents a potential upside of 33.6%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | 10.4% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | 33.6% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 7.5% - 9.5% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $7416 million in 12-2024 to $11330 million by 12-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 4.3%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2024 | 7416 | 1% |
| 12-2025 | 7821 | 5% |
| 12-2026 | 8246 | 5% |
| 12-2027 | 8678 | 5% |
| 12-2028 | 9216 | 6% |
| 12-2029 | 9518 | 3% |
| 12-2030 | 10094 | 6% |
| 12-2031 | 10296 | 2% |
| 12-2032 | 10745 | 4% |
| 12-2033 | 10959 | 2% |
| 12-2034 | 11330 | 3% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from 4% in 12-2024 to 8% by 12-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2024 | 261 | 4% |
| 12-2025 | 376 | 5% |
| 12-2026 | 469 | 6% |
| 12-2027 | 568 | 7% |
| 12-2028 | 681 | 7% |
| 12-2029 | 782 | 8% |
| 12-2030 | 829 | 8% |
| 12-2031 | 846 | 8% |
| 12-2032 | 883 | 8% |
| 12-2033 | 900 | 8% |
| 12-2034 | 931 | 8% |
with a 5-year average of $757 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 10% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2025 | 779 |
| 12-2026 | 822 |
| 12-2027 | 887 |
| 12-2028 | 898 |
| 12-2029 | 895 |
| 12-2030 | 942 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 58 |
| Days Inventory | 92 |
| Days Payables | 20 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1337 | 115 | 805 | (332) | 749 |
| 2026 | 1505 | 143 | 849 | 329 | 184 |
| 2027 | 1703 | 173 | 893 | 105 | 532 |
| 2028 | 1866 | 208 | 949 | 53 | 656 |
| 2029 | 1998 | 239 | 980 | 120 | 660 |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | 10.4% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | 33.6% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 1683.56 | +Inf% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 1844.32 | +Inf% |
Is Mondi PLC (MNDI.L) a buy or a sell? Mondi PLC is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Mondi PLC (MNDI.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of 33.6%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.00.