As of June 12, 2025, MJ Hudson Group PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $13.12, this represents a potential upside of -527.5%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -619.8% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -527.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 6.9% - 8.8% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $40 million in 06-2021 to $99 million by 06-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 9.5%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 06-2021 | 40 | 79% |
| 06-2022 | 40 | 2% |
| 06-2023 | 48 | 19% |
| 06-2024 | 51 | 6% |
| 06-2025 | 60 | 18% |
| 06-2026 | 68 | 13% |
| 06-2027 | 75 | 10% |
| 06-2028 | 82 | 10% |
| 06-2029 | 88 | 8% |
| 06-2030 | 94 | 6% |
| 06-2031 | 99 | 6% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -14% in 06-2021 to -3% by 06-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 06-2021 | (5) | -14% |
| 06-2022 | (4) | -11% |
| 06-2023 | (4) | -9% |
| 06-2024 | (4) | -8% |
| 06-2025 | (4) | -6% |
| 06-2026 | (3) | -4% |
| 06-2027 | (3) | -4% |
| 06-2028 | (3) | -4% |
| 06-2029 | (3) | -4% |
| 06-2030 | (3) | -3% |
| 06-2031 | (3) | -3% |
with a 5-year average of $1 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 6% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 06-2022 | 2 |
| 06-2023 | 2 |
| 06-2024 | 3 |
| 06-2025 | 3 |
| 06-2026 | 3 |
| 06-2027 | 4 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 67 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 84 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2022 | (1) | (0) | 1 | (1) | (2) |
| 2023 | (2) | (0) | 3 | 1 | (6) |
| 2024 | (2) | (0) | 3 | 1 | (6) |
| 2025 | (1) | (0) | 4 | 1 | (5) |
| 2026 | (0) | (0) | 4 | 1 | (5) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -619.8% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -527.5% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is MJ Hudson Group PLC (MJH.L) a buy or a sell? MJ Hudson Group PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, MJ Hudson Group PLC (MJH.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -527.5%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $13.12.