As of May 27, 2025, MJardin Group Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.01, this represents a potential upside of -22286.2%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -15525.7% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -22286.2% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 4.7% - 5.3% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $11 million in 12-2020 to $7 million by 12-2030, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately -4.4%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2020 | 11 | 57% |
| 12-2021 | 5 | -56% |
| 12-2022 | 5 | 2% |
| 12-2023 | 5 | 7% |
| 12-2024 | 6 | 2% |
| 12-2025 | 6 | 2% |
| 12-2026 | 6 | 2% |
| 12-2027 | 6 | 5% |
| 12-2028 | 6 | 2% |
| 12-2029 | 6 | 2% |
| 12-2030 | 7 | 6% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -266% in 12-2020 to -196% by 12-2030, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2020 | (30) | -266% |
| 12-2021 | (11) | -214% |
| 12-2022 | (11) | -210% |
| 12-2023 | (11) | -206% |
| 12-2024 | (11) | -202% |
| 12-2025 | (11) | -199% |
| 12-2026 | (12) | -198% |
| 12-2027 | (12) | -198% |
| 12-2028 | (12) | -197% |
| 12-2029 | (12) | -196% |
| 12-2030 | (13) | -196% |
with a 5-year average of $6 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 29% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2021 | 6 |
| 12-2022 | 6 |
| 12-2023 | 6 |
| 12-2024 | 3 |
| 12-2025 | 2 |
| 12-2026 | 2 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 39 |
| Days Inventory | 67 |
| Days Payables | 124 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3M/2021 | 1 | (0) | 0 | (0) | 1 |
| 2022 | 4 | (0) | 1 | (0) | 3 |
| 2023 | 4 | (0) | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 2024 | 0 | (0) | 2 | (0) | (1) |
| 2025 | (0) | (0) | 2 | (0) | (2) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -15525.7% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -22286.2% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is MJardin Group Inc (MJAR.CN) a buy or a sell? MJardin Group Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, MJardin Group Inc (MJAR.CN) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -22286.2%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.01.