What is MENE.V's DCF valuation?

Mene Inc (MENE.V) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 20, 2025, Mene Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.14, this represents a potential upside of -111.1%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -96.5%
Potential Upside (10-year) -111.1%
Discount Rate (WACC) 5.6% - 7.5%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $26 million in 12-2024 to $49 million by 12-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 6.5%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2024 26 11%
12-2025 29 11%
12-2026 31 7%
12-2027 32 4%
12-2028 34 5%
12-2029 34 2%
12-2030 36 7%
12-2031 39 7%
12-2032 42 7%
12-2033 45 8%
12-2034 49 9%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -4% in 12-2024 to 2% by 12-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2024 (1) -4%
12-2025 (1) -2%
12-2026 (0) -1%
12-2027 0 0%
12-2028 0 1%
12-2029 1 2%
12-2030 1 2%
12-2031 1 2%
12-2032 1 2%
12-2033 1 2%
12-2034 1 2%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 1% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2025 0
12-2026 0
12-2027 0
12-2028 0
12-2029 0
12-2030 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 3
Days Inventory 216
Days Payables 0

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
9M/2025 (0) (0) 0 0 (1)
2026 (0) (0) 0 (0) (0)
2027 0 0 0 1 (1)
2028 1 0 0 0 0
2029 1 0 0 (0) 1

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 5.6% - 7.5%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 1.0% - 3.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 6.6x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -96.5%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -111.1%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.03 -79.3%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.03 -77.5%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(4)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(9)M

Investment Conclusion

Is Mene Inc (MENE.V) a buy or a sell? Mene Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Mene Inc (MENE.V) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -111.1%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -4% to 2%)
  • Steady revenue growth (6.5% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.14.