As of May 24, 2025, Newlox Gold Ventures Corp has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.05, this represents a potential upside of -1038.5%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -763.1% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -1038.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.3% - 7.7% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $3 million in 03-2024 to $3 million by 03-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 0.0%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 03-2024 | 3 | 20% |
| 03-2025 | 1 | -56% |
| 03-2026 | 1 | 15% |
| 03-2027 | 2 | 11% |
| 03-2028 | 2 | 10% |
| 03-2029 | 2 | 12% |
| 03-2030 | 2 | 13% |
| 03-2031 | 2 | 12% |
| 03-2032 | 3 | 10% |
| 03-2033 | 3 | 8% |
| 03-2034 | 3 | 8% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -150% in 03-2024 to -92% by 03-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 03-2024 | (4) | -150% |
| 03-2025 | (1) | -103% |
| 03-2026 | (1) | -100% |
| 03-2027 | (2) | -98% |
| 03-2028 | (2) | -96% |
| 03-2029 | (2) | -94% |
| 03-2030 | (2) | -94% |
| 03-2031 | (2) | -93% |
| 03-2032 | (2) | -93% |
| 03-2033 | (3) | -93% |
| 03-2034 | (3) | -92% |
with a 5-year average of $2 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 103% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 03-2025 | 2 |
| 03-2026 | 2 |
| 03-2027 | 2 |
| 03-2028 | 2 |
| 03-2029 | 2 |
| 03-2030 | 2 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 0 |
| Days Inventory | 8 |
| Days Payables | 29 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3M/2025 | 0 | (0) | 0 | (0) | (0) |
| 2026 | 0 | (1) | 1 | 0 | (1) |
| 2027 | 0 | (1) | 2 | (0) | (1) |
| 2028 | (0) | (1) | 2 | (0) | (1) |
| 2029 | (0) | (1) | 2 | 0 | (2) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -763.1% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -1038.5% |
Is Newlox Gold Ventures Corp (LUX.CN) a buy or a sell? Newlox Gold Ventures Corp is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Newlox Gold Ventures Corp (LUX.CN) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -1038.5%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.05.