As of May 22, 2025, LoopUp Group PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.70, this represents a potential upside of -210923.3%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -161472.1% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -210923.3% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 4.0% - 6.5% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $16 million in 12-2022 to $55 million by 12-2032, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 13.1%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2022 | 16 | 16% |
| 12-2023 | 22 | 36% |
| 12-2024 | 23 | 1% |
| 12-2025 | 27 | 20% |
| 12-2026 | 32 | 18% |
| 12-2027 | 36 | 11% |
| 12-2028 | 39 | 9% |
| 12-2029 | 43 | 12% |
| 12-2030 | 47 | 8% |
| 12-2031 | 51 | 10% |
| 12-2032 | 55 | 7% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -132% in 12-2022 to -120% by 12-2032, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2022 | (22) | -132% |
| 12-2023 | (28) | -125% |
| 12-2024 | (28) | -124% |
| 12-2025 | (33) | -123% |
| 12-2026 | (39) | -122% |
| 12-2027 | (43) | -121% |
| 12-2028 | (47) | -121% |
| 12-2029 | (52) | -120% |
| 12-2030 | (56) | -120% |
| 12-2031 | (62) | -120% |
| 12-2032 | (66) | -120% |
with a 5-year average of $6 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 24% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2023 | 7 |
| 12-2024 | 6 |
| 12-2025 | 6 |
| 12-2026 | 6 |
| 12-2027 | 7 |
| 12-2028 | 7 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 74 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 153 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2023 | (14) | (3) | 3 | (1) | (12) |
| 2024 | (27) | (7) | 5 | 1 | (26) |
| 2025 | (34) | (8) | 6 | 1 | (34) |
| 2026 | (41) | (9) | 8 | 0 | (39) |
| 2027 | (45) | (10) | 8 | 1 | (44) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -161472.1% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -210923.3% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is LoopUp Group PLC (LOOP.L) a buy or a sell? LoopUp Group PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, LoopUp Group PLC (LOOP.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -210923.3%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.70.