As of May 23, 2025, Livexlive Media Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $3.07, this represents a potential upside of -25522.5%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -2233.9% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -25522.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 6.4% - 9.2% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $65 million in 03-2021 to $17500 million by 03-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 75.0%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 03-2021 | 65 | 69% |
| 03-2022 | 127 | 94% |
| 03-2023 | 157 | 24% |
| 03-2024 | 266 | 69% |
| 03-2025 | 553 | 108% |
| 03-2026 | 1105 | 100% |
| 03-2027 | 2132 | 93% |
| 03-2028 | 3852 | 81% |
| 03-2029 | 6691 | 74% |
| 03-2030 | 11032 | 65% |
| 03-2031 | 17500 | 59% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -64% in 03-2021 to -45% by 03-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 03-2021 | (42) | -64% |
| 03-2022 | (77) | -61% |
| 03-2023 | (90) | -57% |
| 03-2024 | (143) | -54% |
| 03-2025 | (279) | -50% |
| 03-2026 | (524) | -47% |
| 03-2027 | (999) | -47% |
| 03-2028 | (1,782) | -46% |
| 03-2029 | (3,058) | -46% |
| 03-2030 | (4,980) | -45% |
| 03-2031 | (7,803) | -45% |
with a 5-year average of $2 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 6% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 03-2022 | 3 |
| 03-2023 | 5 |
| 03-2024 | 7 |
| 03-2025 | 13 |
| 03-2026 | 25 |
| 03-2027 | 48 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 48 |
| Days Inventory | 6 |
| Days Payables | 217 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9M/2022 | (48) | (0) | 5 | (23) | (30) |
| 2023 | (72) | (0) | 9 | (5) | (76) |
| 2024 | (114) | (1) | 15 | (6) | (123) |
| 2025 | (222) | (1) | 31 | (64) | (188) |
| 2026 | (412) | (3) | 63 | (84) | (388) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -2233.9% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -25522.5% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Livexlive Media Inc (LIVX) a buy or a sell? Livexlive Media Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Livexlive Media Inc (LIVX) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -25522.5%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $3.07.