What is LET.WA's DCF valuation?

Letus Capital SA (LET.WA) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 14, 2025, Letus Capital SA has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $1.05, this represents a potential upside of -194.9%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -198.8%
Potential Upside (10-year) -194.9%
Discount Rate (WACC) 7.4% - 9.3%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2024 0 61%
12-2025 0 7%
12-2026 0 3%
12-2027 0 6%
12-2028 0 2%
12-2029 0 2%
12-2030 0 2%
12-2031 0 2%
12-2032 0 2%
12-2033 0 7%
12-2034 0 2%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -1382% in 12-2024 to -384% by 12-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2024 (3) -1382%
12-2025 (3) -294%
12-2026 (3) -303%
12-2027 (3) -320%
12-2028 (3) -326%
12-2029 (3) -333%
12-2030 (3) -340%
12-2031 (3) -346%
12-2032 (4) -353%
12-2033 (4) -377%
12-2034 (4) -384%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2025 0
12-2026 0
12-2027 0
12-2028 0
12-2029 0
12-2030 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 236
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 0

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
9M/2025 (3) (1) 0 (0) (2)
2026 (4) (1) 0 0 (3)
2027 (4) (1) 0 0 (3)
2028 (4) (1) 0 (0) (3)
2029 (4) (1) 0 0 (3)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 7.4% - 9.3%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 1.9x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -198.8%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -194.9%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(66)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(63)M

Investment Conclusion

Is Letus Capital SA (LET.WA) a buy or a sell? Letus Capital SA is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Letus Capital SA (LET.WA) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -194.9%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -1382% to -384%)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $1.05.