As of December 15, 2025, Kape Technologies PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $415.29 per share. With the current market price at $285.00, this represents a potential upside of 277.7%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $415.29 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | 45.7% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | 277.7% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 7.0% - 8.6% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $623 million in 12-2022 to $5561 million by 12-2032, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 24.5%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2022 | 623 | 170% |
| 12-2023 | 655 | 5% |
| 12-2024 | 940 | 44% |
| 12-2025 | 1391 | 48% |
| 12-2026 | 1860 | 34% |
| 12-2027 | 2488 | 34% |
| 12-2028 | 3060 | 23% |
| 12-2029 | 3687 | 20% |
| 12-2030 | 4333 | 18% |
| 12-2031 | 4972 | 15% |
| 12-2032 | 5561 | 12% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from 11% in 12-2022 to 11% by 12-2032, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2022 | 71 | 11% |
| 12-2023 | 70 | 11% |
| 12-2024 | 100 | 11% |
| 12-2025 | 148 | 11% |
| 12-2026 | 198 | 11% |
| 12-2027 | 265 | 11% |
| 12-2028 | 326 | 11% |
| 12-2029 | 393 | 11% |
| 12-2030 | 462 | 11% |
| 12-2031 | 530 | 11% |
| 12-2032 | 593 | 11% |
with a 5-year average of $7 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 4% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2023 | 12 |
| 12-2024 | 18 |
| 12-2025 | 28 |
| 12-2026 | 41 |
| 12-2027 | 56 |
| 12-2028 | 74 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 40 |
| Days Inventory | 3 |
| Days Payables | 67 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 117 | 28 | 25 | 23 | 41 |
| 2024 | 169 | 40 | 36 | 61 | 33 |
| 2025 | 252 | 59 | 53 | 11 | 129 |
| 2026 | 339 | 79 | 71 | 66 | 123 |
| 2027 | 455 | 105 | 95 | 78 | 177 |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 415.29 | 45.7% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | 277.7% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 570.46 | 100.2% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 1209.16 | 324.3% |
Is Kape Technologies PLC (KAPE.L) a buy or a sell? Kape Technologies PLC is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Kape Technologies PLC (KAPE.L) appears to be significantly undervalued with upside potential of 277.7%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider a strong buy at the current market price of $285.00.