What is JUS.L's DCF valuation?

Jupiter US Smaller Companies PLC (JUS.L) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 22, 2025, Jupiter US Smaller Companies PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.00, this represents a potential upside of -172.1%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -165.1%
Potential Upside (10-year) -172.1%
Discount Rate (WACC) 7.7% - 10.1%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
06-2020 (4) 145%
06-2021 (4) 10%
06-2022 (4) 3%
06-2023 (4) 4%
06-2024 (4) 4%
06-2025 (5) 3%
06-2026 (5) 9%
06-2027 (5) 10%
06-2028 (6) 6%
06-2029 (6) 7%
06-2030 (7) 6%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from 155% in 06-2020 to -894% by 06-2030, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
06-2020 (6) 155%
06-2021 (6) -581%
06-2022 (6) -593%
06-2023 (6) -608%
06-2024 (6) -623%
06-2025 (6) -633%
06-2026 (7) -686%
06-2027 (8) -751%
06-2028 (8) -795%
06-2029 (8) -846%
06-2030 (9) -894%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
06-2021 0
06-2022 0
06-2023 0
06-2024 0
06-2025 0
06-2026 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 0
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 0

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
6M/2021 (3) (0) (0) 0 (3)
2022 (6) (0) (0) 0 (6)
2023 (6) (0) (0) 0 (6)
2024 (6) (0) (0) 0 (6)
2025 (6) (0) (0) 0 (6)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 7.7% - 10.1%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 5.7x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -165.1%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -172.1%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 NaN%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 NaN%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(112)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(124)M

Investment Conclusion

Is Jupiter US Smaller Companies PLC (JUS.L) a buy or a sell? Jupiter US Smaller Companies PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Jupiter US Smaller Companies PLC (JUS.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -172.1%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.00.