As of May 23, 2025, Jadestone Energy Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $20.50, this represents a potential upside of -846.8%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -767.2% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -846.8% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 7.0% - 21.6% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $309 million in 12-2023 to $1056 million by 12-2033, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 13.1%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2023 | 309 | 27% |
| 12-2024 | 365 | 18% |
| 12-2025 | 426 | 17% |
| 12-2026 | 474 | 11% |
| 12-2027 | 543 | 14% |
| 12-2028 | 626 | 15% |
| 12-2029 | 709 | 13% |
| 12-2030 | 775 | 9% |
| 12-2031 | 866 | 12% |
| 12-2032 | 959 | 11% |
| 12-2033 | 1056 | 10% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -30% in 12-2023 to -11% by 12-2033, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2023 | (91) | -30% |
| 12-2024 | (87) | -24% |
| 12-2025 | (90) | -21% |
| 12-2026 | (87) | -18% |
| 12-2027 | (86) | -16% |
| 12-2028 | (83) | -13% |
| 12-2029 | (91) | -13% |
| 12-2030 | (96) | -12% |
| 12-2031 | (104) | -12% |
| 12-2032 | (110) | -12% |
| 12-2033 | (117) | -11% |
with a 5-year average of $65 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 20% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2024 | 68 |
| 12-2025 | 81 |
| 12-2026 | 88 |
| 12-2027 | 93 |
| 12-2028 | 95 |
| 12-2029 | 109 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 18 |
| Days Inventory | 42 |
| Days Payables | 40 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2024 | (20) | (10) | 36 | 3 | (48) |
| 2025 | (30) | (21) | 83 | (1) | (91) |
| 2026 | (20) | (20) | 93 | 4 | (96) |
| 2027 | (13) | (20) | 106 | 4 | (103) |
| 2028 | (8) | (20) | 123 | 3 | (114) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -767.2% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -846.8% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Jadestone Energy Inc (JSE.L) a buy or a sell? Jadestone Energy Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Jadestone Energy Inc (JSE.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -846.8%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $20.50.