What is JRS.L's DCF valuation?

JPmorgan Russian Securities PLC (JRS.L) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of December 15, 2025, JPmorgan Russian Securities PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $96.50, this represents a potential upside of -17397.4%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -17707.0%
Potential Upside (10-year) -17397.4%
Discount Rate (WACC) 8.5% - 9.7%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
10-2022 (353) 319%
10-2023 (372) 5%
10-2024 (379) 2%
10-2025 (387) 2%
10-2026 (398) 3%
10-2027 (418) 5%
10-2028 (426) 2%
10-2029 (435) 2%
10-2030 (447) 3%
10-2031 (473) 6%
10-2032 (482) 2%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from 101% in 10-2022 to -47611% by 10-2032, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
10-2022 (355) 101%
10-2023 (367) -36714%
10-2024 (374) -37443%
10-2025 (382) -38187%
10-2026 (393) -39333%
10-2027 (412) -41230%
10-2028 (421) -42054%
10-2029 (429) -42907%
10-2030 (441) -44146%
10-2031 (467) -46679%
10-2032 (476) -47611%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
10-2023 0
10-2024 0
10-2025 0
10-2026 0
10-2027 0
10-2028 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 0
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 0

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
2023 (373) (6) (0) 0 (367)
2024 (381) (6) (0) 0 (374)
2025 (388) (6) (0) 0 (382)
2026 (400) (7) (0) 0 (393)
2027 (419) (7) (0) 0 (412)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 8.5% - 9.7%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 6.8x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -17707.0%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -17397.4%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(6,789)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(6,670)M

Investment Conclusion

Is JPmorgan Russian Securities PLC (JRS.L) a buy or a sell? JPmorgan Russian Securities PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, JPmorgan Russian Securities PLC (JRS.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -17397.4%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $96.50.