As of June 8, 2025, John Laing Group PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $402.60, this represents a potential upside of -5496.3%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -1290.7% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -5496.3% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 6.2% - 8.5% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $25 million in 12-2020 to $3776 million by 12-2030, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 65.2%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2020 | 25 | 86% |
| 12-2021 | 159 | 534% |
| 12-2022 | 223 | 41% |
| 12-2023 | 265 | 19% |
| 12-2024 | 437 | 65% |
| 12-2025 | 675 | 54% |
| 12-2026 | 1016 | 51% |
| 12-2027 | 1482 | 46% |
| 12-2028 | 2098 | 42% |
| 12-2029 | 2850 | 36% |
| 12-2030 | 3776 | 32% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -264% in 12-2020 to -258% by 12-2030, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2020 | (66) | -264% |
| 12-2021 | (408) | -258% |
| 12-2022 | (574) | -258% |
| 12-2023 | (683) | -258% |
| 12-2024 | (1,127) | -258% |
| 12-2025 | (1,738) | -258% |
| 12-2026 | (2,616) | -258% |
| 12-2027 | (3,817) | -258% |
| 12-2028 | (5,403) | -258% |
| 12-2029 | (7,342) | -258% |
| 12-2030 | (9,726) | -258% |
with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 1% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2021 | 0 |
| 12-2022 | 1 |
| 12-2023 | 1 |
| 12-2024 | 2 |
| 12-2025 | 3 |
| 12-2026 | 4 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 23 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 0 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | (329) | (4) | 1 | 7 | (334) |
| 2022 | (463) | (5) | 2 | 7 | (467) |
| 2023 | (550) | (6) | 2 | 9 | (555) |
| 2024 | (908) | (11) | 4 | 9 | (909) |
| 2025 | (1,400) | (16) | 6 | 23 | (1,413) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -1290.7% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -5496.3% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is John Laing Group PLC (JLG.L) a buy or a sell? John Laing Group PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, John Laing Group PLC (JLG.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -5496.3%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $402.60.