What is JARA.L's Intrinsic value?

JPMorgan Global Core Real Assets Ltd (JARA.L) Intrinsic Value Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 23, 2025, JPMorgan Global Core Real Assets Ltd's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $85.42 to $85.42 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.

Valuation Method Fair Value (USD) Implied Upside/Downside
Earnings Power Value $85.42 +8.1%

Is JPMorgan Global Core Real Assets Ltd (JARA.L) undervalued or overvalued?

With the current market price at $79.00, the stock appears to be fairly valued.

Understanding Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate JPMorgan Global Core Real Assets Ltd's intrinsic value, including:

  1. Earnings Power Value (EPV): Values the company based on its current earnings power, assuming no growth

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.

WACC Component Low High
Long-term bond rate 4.0% 4.5%
Equity market risk premium 6.0% 7.0%
Adjusted beta 0.92 1.31
Cost of equity 9.5% 14.1%
Cost of debt 5.0% 5.0%
Tax rate 2.8% 3.8%
Debt/Equity ratio 1 1
After-tax WACC 7.2% 9.5%

Valuation Methods

3. Earnings Power Value (EPV)

EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.

EPV Component Value
Normalized Earnings $12M
Discount Rate (WACC) 9.5% - 7.2%
Enterprise Value $131M - $173M
Net Debt $(2)M
Equity Value $133M - $175M
Outstanding Shares 2M
Fair Value $74 - $97
Selected Fair Value $85.42

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Value
Market Capitalization $142M
Enterprise Value $140M
Trailing P/E 0.00
Forward P/E 0.00
Trailing EV/EBITDA 6.80
Current Dividend Yield 645.96%
Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) 0.00%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.98

Investment Decision Framework

To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:

  1. Forecast Certainty: DCF methods rely on long-term projections, while earnings power value focuses on current normalized earnings
  2. Business Model Alignment: Dividend models are more appropriate for mature companies with established dividend policies
  3. Historical Accuracy: How well each method has predicted fair value historically

Valuation Weight Matrix

Valuation Method Weight Weighted Value
Earnings Power Value 100% $8.54
Weighted Average 100% $85.42

Investment Conclusion

Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, JPMorgan Global Core Real Assets Ltd's weighted average intrinsic value is $85.42, which is approximately 8.1% above the current market price of $79.00.

Key investment considerations:

  • Strong projected earnings growth (129% to -1406% margin)
  • Consistent cash flow generation

Given these factors, we believe JPMorgan Global Core Real Assets Ltd is currently fairly valued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.