As of May 22, 2025, IXICO PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $11.25, this represents a potential upside of -508.7%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -609.4% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -508.7% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 6.3% - 8.7% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $6 million in 09-2024 to $8 million by 09-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 2.9%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 09-2024 | 6 | 14% |
| 09-2025 | 6 | 8% |
| 09-2026 | 6 | 2% |
| 09-2027 | 6 | 3% |
| 09-2028 | 7 | 3% |
| 09-2029 | 7 | 3% |
| 09-2030 | 7 | 2% |
| 09-2031 | 7 | 2% |
| 09-2032 | 7 | 2% |
| 09-2033 | 8 | 2% |
| 09-2034 | 8 | 2% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -35% in 09-2024 to -19% by 09-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 09-2024 | (2) | -35% |
| 09-2025 | (2) | -29% |
| 09-2026 | (2) | -27% |
| 09-2027 | (2) | -25% |
| 09-2028 | (2) | -23% |
| 09-2029 | (1) | -21% |
| 09-2030 | (1) | -21% |
| 09-2031 | (1) | -20% |
| 09-2032 | (1) | -20% |
| 09-2033 | (1) | -20% |
| 09-2034 | (1) | -19% |
with a 5-year average of $2 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 20% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 09-2025 | 2 |
| 09-2026 | 1 |
| 09-2027 | 1 |
| 09-2028 | 1 |
| 09-2029 | 1 |
| 09-2030 | 1 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 83 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 15 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | (1) | (0) | 1 | (0) | (1) |
| 2026 | (1) | (0) | 1 | (0) | (2) |
| 2027 | (1) | (0) | 1 | 0 | (2) |
| 2028 | (1) | (0) | 1 | (0) | (2) |
| 2029 | (0) | (0) | 1 | 0 | (2) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -609.4% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -508.7% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is IXICO PLC (IXI.L) a buy or a sell? IXICO PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, IXICO PLC (IXI.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -508.7%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $11.25.