As of May 24, 2025, IQGeo Group PLC's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $0.17 to $238.76 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $38.68 | -91.9% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $125.08 | -73.8% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | $0.17 | -100.0% |
| Earnings Power Value | $238.76 | -50.0% |
Is IQGeo Group PLC (IQG.L) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $478.00, the stock appears to be significantly overvalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate IQGeo Group PLC's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 4.0% | 4.5% |
| Equity market risk premium | 6.0% | 7.0% |
| Adjusted beta | 0.52 | 0.72 |
| Cost of equity | 7.1% | 10.0% |
| Cost of debt | 5.0% | 5.0% |
| Tax rate | 20.6% | 37.6% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| After-tax WACC | 7.1% | 10.0% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $(1,234) | $(79)M | 79.2% |
| 10-Year Growth | $39 | $15M | 197.6% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $191 | $109M | 115.0% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $392 | $234M | 106.3% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $12M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 10.0% - 7.1% |
| Enterprise Value | $116M - $163M |
| Net Debt | $(9)M |
| Equity Value | $125M - $172M |
| Outstanding Shares | 1M |
| Fair Value | $201 - $277 |
| Selected Fair Value | $238.76 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $297M |
| Enterprise Value | $288M |
| Trailing P/E | 74189.78 |
| Forward P/E | 396.32 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 10.95 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 0.00% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | 0.00% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.01 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 40% | $11.60 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 27% | $25.02 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | 20% | $0.03 |
| Earnings Power Value | 13% | $23.88 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $80.69 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, IQGeo Group PLC's weighted average intrinsic value is $80.69, which is approximately 83.1% below the current market price of $478.00.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe IQGeo Group PLC is currently significantly overvalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.