As of June 14, 2025, Impresa Sociedade Gestora de Participacoes Sociais SA has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.14, this represents a potential upside of -16981.9%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -17043.3% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -16981.9% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 3.8% - 3.6% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $182 million in 12-2024 to $248 million by 12-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 3.1%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2024 | 182 | 0% |
| 12-2025 | 192 | 5% |
| 12-2026 | 196 | 2% |
| 12-2027 | 204 | 4% |
| 12-2028 | 208 | 2% |
| 12-2029 | 212 | 2% |
| 12-2030 | 217 | 2% |
| 12-2031 | 222 | 2% |
| 12-2032 | 228 | 3% |
| 12-2033 | 232 | 2% |
| 12-2034 | 248 | 7% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -36% in 12-2024 to -24% by 12-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2024 | (66) | -36% |
| 12-2025 | (47) | -24% |
| 12-2026 | (48) | -24% |
| 12-2027 | (50) | -24% |
| 12-2028 | (51) | -24% |
| 12-2029 | (52) | -24% |
| 12-2030 | (53) | -24% |
| 12-2031 | (54) | -24% |
| 12-2032 | (55) | -24% |
| 12-2033 | (57) | -24% |
| 12-2034 | (60) | -24% |
with a 5-year average of $3 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 2% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2025 | 3 |
| 12-2026 | 3 |
| 12-2027 | 3 |
| 12-2028 | 3 |
| 12-2029 | 4 |
| 12-2030 | 4 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 55 |
| Days Inventory | 1 |
| Days Payables | 49 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | (52) | (21) | 3 | 36 | (70) |
| 2026 | (53) | (22) | 3 | (0) | (35) |
| 2027 | (55) | (23) | 4 | 0 | (37) |
| 2028 | (56) | (23) | 4 | 2 | (39) |
| 2029 | (57) | (24) | 4 | 0 | (38) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -17043.3% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -16981.9% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Impresa Sociedade Gestora de Participacoes Sociais SA (IPR.LS) a buy or a sell? Impresa Sociedade Gestora de Participacoes Sociais SA is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Impresa Sociedade Gestora de Participacoes Sociais SA (IPR.LS) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -16981.9%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.14.