What is IOM.L's DCF valuation?

iomart group PLC (IOM.L) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 22, 2025, iomart group PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $187.38 per share. With the current market price at $28.00, this represents a potential upside of 569.2%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $131.12
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $187.38
Potential Upside (5-year) 368.3%
Potential Upside (10-year) 569.2%
Discount Rate (WACC) 5.7% - 8.3%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $127 million in 03-2024 to $262 million by 03-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 7.5%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
03-2024 127 10%
03-2025 145 14%
03-2026 162 12%
03-2027 166 3%
03-2028 181 9%
03-2029 195 7%
03-2030 202 4%
03-2031 212 5%
03-2032 226 7%
03-2033 245 8%
03-2034 262 7%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from 5% in 03-2024 to 6% by 03-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
03-2024 6 5%
03-2025 8 6%
03-2026 9 6%
03-2027 9 6%
03-2028 10 6%
03-2029 11 6%
03-2030 11 6%
03-2031 12 6%
03-2032 13 6%
03-2033 14 6%
03-2034 15 6%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $14 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 12% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
03-2025 14
03-2026 14
03-2027 16
03-2028 18
03-2029 20
03-2030 22

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 40
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 63

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
6M/2025 14 1 9 1 4
2026 31 2 19 1 8
2027 33 2 20 (1) 11
2028 37 2 22 1 12
2029 40 2 23 0 14

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 5.7% - 8.3%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 0.0% - 1.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 3.3x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 131.12 368.3%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 187.38 569.2%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 80.17 186.3%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 131.00 367.8%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $183M
  • 10-Year Model: $241M

Investment Conclusion

Is iomart group PLC (IOM.L) a buy or a sell? iomart group PLC is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, iomart group PLC (IOM.L) appears to be significantly undervalued with upside potential of 569.2%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from 5% to 6%)
  • Steady revenue growth (7.5% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider a strong buy at the current market price of $28.00.