What is INFA.L's DCF valuation?

Infrastrata PLC (INFA.L) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 23, 2025, Infrastrata PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $16.50, this represents a potential upside of -418099928364.8%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -64912276.4%
Potential Upside (10-year) -418099928364.8%
Discount Rate (WACC) 6.3% - 9.3%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $1 million in 07-2020 to $2206861461 million by 07-2030, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 759.8%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
07-2020 1 -
07-2021 32 2045%
07-2022 338 964%
07-2023 3591 962%
07-2024 31541 778%
07-2025 253289 703%
07-2026 1853359 632%
07-2027 12413492 570%
07-2028 76374962 515%
07-2029 428657473 461%
07-2030 2206861461 415%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -702% in 07-2020 to -552% by 07-2030, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
07-2020 (10) -702%
07-2021 (180) -566%
07-2022 (1,903) -563%
07-2023 (20,098) -560%
07-2024 (175,675) -557%
07-2025 (1,404,128) -554%
07-2026 (10,265,024) -554%
07-2027 (68,692,191) -553%
07-2028 (422,260,912) -553%
07-2029 (2,367,883,016) -552%
07-2030 (12,180,029,854) -552%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $1 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 234% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
07-2021 16
07-2022 175
07-2023 1855
07-2024 16616
07-2025 135152
07-2026 1002498

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 18
Days Inventory 34
Days Payables 220

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
6M/2021 (90) (21) 37 (5) (101)
2022 (1,894) (446) 791 (131) (2,108)
2023 (19,975) (4,714) 8402 (1,746) (21,916)
2024 (174,069) (41,208) 73804 (10,143) (196,522)
2025 (1,387,954) (329,363) 592688 (87,062) (1,564,216)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 6.3% - 9.3%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 6.5x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -64912276.4%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -418099928364.8%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(12,944,351)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(83,375,039,733)M

Investment Conclusion

Is Infrastrata PLC (INFA.L) a buy or a sell? Infrastrata PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Infrastrata PLC (INFA.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -418099928364.8%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -702% to -552%)
  • Steady revenue growth (759.8% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $16.50.