What is IMII's DCF valuation?

Inception Mining Inc (IMII) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 21, 2025, Inception Mining Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.70, this represents a potential upside of 0.0%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) 0.0%
Potential Upside (10-year) 0.0%
Discount Rate (WACC) -

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $5 million in 12-2021 to $3 million by 12-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately -5.0%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2021 5 14%
12-2022 2 -64%
12-2023 2 8%
12-2024 2 3%
12-2025 2 8%
12-2026 2 7%
12-2027 2 6%
12-2028 2 6%
12-2029 3 7%
12-2030 3 9%
12-2031 3 9%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -60% in 12-2021 to -22% by 12-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2021 (3) -60%
12-2022 (1) -33%
12-2023 (1) -31%
12-2024 (1) -28%
12-2025 (1) -26%
12-2026 (1) -24%
12-2027 (1) -24%
12-2028 (1) -23%
12-2029 (1) -23%
12-2030 (1) -23%
12-2031 (1) -22%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 2% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2022 0
12-2023 0
12-2024 0
12-2025 0
12-2026 0
12-2027 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 1
Days Inventory 77
Days Payables 80

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
3M/2022 (0) (0) 0 0 (0)
2023 (1) (0) 0 (0) (1)
2024 (1) (0) 0 (0) (1)
2025 (1) (0) 0 0 (1)
2026 (1) (0) 0 (0) (1)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): - (selected: -)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: - (selected: -)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 0.0%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 0.0%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(23)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(24)M

Investment Conclusion

Is Inception Mining Inc (IMII) a buy or a sell? Inception Mining Inc is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Inception Mining Inc (IMII) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of 0.0%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -60% to -22%)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.70.