What is ILAL's DCF valuation?

International Land Alliance Inc (ILAL) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 27, 2025, International Land Alliance Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.15, this represents a potential upside of -870.2%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) -2005.3%
Potential Upside (10-year) -870.2%
Discount Rate (WACC) 4.6% - 7.8%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $7 million in 12-2023 to $12 million by 12-2033, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 5.5%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2023 7 -
12-2024 8 9%
12-2025 8 9%
12-2026 8 2%
12-2027 9 7%
12-2028 9 4%
12-2029 10 2%
12-2030 10 6%
12-2031 11 7%
12-2032 12 8%
12-2033 12 2%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -29% in 12-2023 to -19% by 12-2033, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2023 (2) -29%
12-2024 (2) -21%
12-2025 (2) -21%
12-2026 (2) -20%
12-2027 (2) -20%
12-2028 (2) -19%
12-2029 (2) -19%
12-2030 (2) -19%
12-2031 (2) -19%
12-2032 (2) -19%
12-2033 (2) -19%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $1 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 354% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2024 6
12-2025 12
12-2026 18
12-2027 24
12-2028 30
12-2029 32

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 101
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 0

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
3M/2024 2 (0) 7 0 (5)
2025 13 (1) 29 (1) (16)
2026 19 (1) 30 1 (11)
2027 25 (1) 32 0 (7)
2028 32 (1) 34 (0) (1)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 4.6% - 7.8%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 3.0% - 4.3%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 16.8x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -2005.3%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 -870.2%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 3.12 1983.2%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 3.57 2277.4%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(243)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(92)M

Investment Conclusion

Is International Land Alliance Inc (ILAL) a buy or a sell? International Land Alliance Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, International Land Alliance Inc (ILAL) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -870.2%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -29% to -19%)
  • Steady revenue growth (5.5% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.15.