As of December 15, 2025, Ideagen PLC's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $11.97 to $141.35 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $11.97 | -96.6% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $22.40 | -93.6% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | $88.76 | -74.6% |
| Earnings Power Value | $141.35 | -59.5% |
Is Ideagen PLC (IDEA.L) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $349.00, the stock appears to be significantly overvalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Ideagen PLC's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 2.9% | 3.4% |
| Equity market risk premium | 5.3% | 6.3% |
| Adjusted beta | 0.59 | 0.7 |
| Cost of equity | 6.1% | 8.4% |
| Cost of debt | 6.8% | 7.0% |
| Tax rate | 9.9% | 14.4% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| After-tax WACC | 6.1% | 8.3% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $(1,234) | $(41)M | 82.6% |
| 10-Year Growth | $12 | $38M | 107.5% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $39 | $118M | 106.1% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $54 | $162M | 101.8% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $29M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 8.3% - 6.1% |
| Enterprise Value | $353M - $483M |
| Net Debt | $3M |
| Equity Value | $350M - $480M |
| Outstanding Shares | 3M |
| Fair Value | $119 - $163 |
| Selected Fair Value | $141.35 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $1026M |
| Enterprise Value | $1028M |
| Trailing P/E | 186.46 |
| Forward P/E | 893.34 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 12.45 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 11.12% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | 22.92% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.03 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 40% | $3.59 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 27% | $4.48 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | 20% | $13.31 |
| Earnings Power Value | 13% | $14.13 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $47.36 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Ideagen PLC's intrinsic value is $47.36, which is approximately 86.4% below the current market price of $349.00.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe Ideagen PLC is currently significantly overvalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.