What is IBPO.L's DCF valuation?

iEnergizer Ltd (IBPO.L) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 23, 2025, iEnergizer Ltd has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $547.78 per share. With the current market price at $59.80, this represents a potential upside of 816.0%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $432.29
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $547.78
Potential Upside (5-year) 622.9%
Potential Upside (10-year) 816.0%
Discount Rate (WACC) 7.5% - 10.5%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $260 million in 03-2022 to $516 million by 03-2032, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 7.1%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
03-2022 260 30%
03-2023 284 9%
03-2024 306 8%
03-2025 318 4%
03-2026 344 8%
03-2027 369 7%
03-2028 402 9%
03-2029 420 4%
03-2030 455 8%
03-2031 492 8%
03-2032 516 5%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from 29% in 03-2022 to 27% by 03-2032, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
03-2022 75 29%
03-2023 78 27%
03-2024 84 27%
03-2025 87 27%
03-2026 94 27%
03-2027 101 27%
03-2028 110 27%
03-2029 115 27%
03-2030 125 27%
03-2031 135 27%
03-2032 141 27%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $7 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 3% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
03-2023 9
03-2024 10
03-2025 11
03-2026 13
03-2027 11
03-2028 12

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 60
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 62

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
6M/2023 53 7 5 3 38
2024 114 14 10 3 87
2025 119 15 11 0 94
2026 130 16 11 4 98
2027 136 17 12 3 104

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 7.5% - 10.5%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 0.0% - 1.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 6.4x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 432.29 622.9%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 547.78 816.0%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 333.94 458.4%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 460.58 670.2%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $1,137M
  • 10-Year Model: $1,412M

Investment Conclusion

Is iEnergizer Ltd (IBPO.L) a buy or a sell? iEnergizer Ltd is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, iEnergizer Ltd (IBPO.L) appears to be significantly undervalued with upside potential of 816.0%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Steady revenue growth (7.1% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider a strong buy at the current market price of $59.80.