As of May 23, 2025, Hyve Group PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $120.60, this represents a potential upside of -862.8%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -791.3% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -862.8% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.7% - 7.3% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $122 million in 09-2022 to $1127 million by 09-2032, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 24.9%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 09-2022 | 122 | 461% |
| 09-2023 | 190 | 55% |
| 09-2024 | 251 | 32% |
| 09-2025 | 334 | 33% |
| 09-2026 | 426 | 28% |
| 09-2027 | 522 | 22% |
| 09-2028 | 616 | 18% |
| 09-2029 | 733 | 19% |
| 09-2030 | 862 | 18% |
| 09-2031 | 1004 | 16% |
| 09-2032 | 1127 | 12% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -21% in 09-2022 to -6% by 09-2032, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 09-2022 | (25) | -21% |
| 09-2023 | (34) | -18% |
| 09-2024 | (38) | -15% |
| 09-2025 | (42) | -13% |
| 09-2026 | (44) | -10% |
| 09-2027 | (41) | -8% |
| 09-2028 | (46) | -8% |
| 09-2029 | (52) | -7% |
| 09-2030 | (57) | -7% |
| 09-2031 | (62) | -6% |
| 09-2032 | (65) | -6% |
with a 5-year average of $2 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 2% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 09-2023 | 2 |
| 09-2024 | 3 |
| 09-2025 | 4 |
| 09-2026 | 6 |
| 09-2027 | 8 |
| 09-2028 | 10 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 158 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 15 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | (33) | (8) | 4 | 52 | (82) |
| 2024 | (36) | (8) | 6 | 50 | (83) |
| 2025 | (37) | (9) | 8 | (2) | (33) |
| 2026 | (34) | (10) | 10 | 59 | (93) |
| 2027 | (26) | (9) | 12 | 45 | (74) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -791.3% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -862.8% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Hyve Group PLC (HYVE.L) a buy or a sell? Hyve Group PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Hyve Group PLC (HYVE.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -862.8%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $120.60.