What is HTZGQ's Intrinsic value?

Hertz Global Holdings Inc (HTZGQ) Intrinsic Value Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 10, 2025, Hertz Global Holdings Inc's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $0.00 to $0.00 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.

Valuation Method Fair Value (USD) Implied Upside/Downside

Is Hertz Global Holdings Inc (HTZGQ) undervalued or overvalued?

With the current market price at $8.74, the stock appears to be significantly overvalued.

Understanding Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Hertz Global Holdings Inc's intrinsic value, including:

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.

WACC Component Low High
Long-term bond rate 3.2% 3.7%
Equity market risk premium 4.2% 5.2%
Adjusted beta 3.4 4.22
Cost of equity 17.6% 26.3%
Cost of debt 4.0% 7.0%
Tax rate 27.0% 27.0%
Debt/Equity ratio 5.9 5.9
After-tax WACC 5.0% 8.2%

Valuation Methods

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Value
Market Capitalization $1062M
Enterprise Value $7001M
Trailing P/E 0.00
Forward P/E 0.00
Trailing EV/EBITDA 6.05
Current Dividend Yield 0.00%
Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) 0.00%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 5.90

Investment Decision Framework

To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:

  1. Forecast Certainty: DCF methods rely on long-term projections, while earnings power value focuses on current normalized earnings
  2. Business Model Alignment: Dividend models are more appropriate for mature companies with established dividend policies
  3. Historical Accuracy: How well each method has predicted fair value historically

Valuation Weight Matrix

Valuation Method Weight Weighted Value
Weighted Average 100% $0.00

Investment Conclusion

Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Hertz Global Holdings Inc's weighted average intrinsic value is $0.00, which is approximately 100.0% below the current market price of $8.74.

Key investment considerations:

  • Strong projected earnings growth (-33% to -24% margin)
  • Consistent cash flow generation

Given these factors, we believe Hertz Global Holdings Inc is currently significantly overvalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.