As of June 21, 2025, Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.00, this represents a potential upside of -104355748.5%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -114598003.0% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -104355748.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.1% - 6.0% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $10 million in 12-2017 to $14 million by 12-2027, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 3.4%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2017 | 10 | 54% |
| 12-2018 | 11 | 5% |
| 12-2019 | 12 | 5% |
| 12-2020 | 12 | 2% |
| 12-2021 | 12 | 5% |
| 12-2022 | 13 | 2% |
| 12-2023 | 13 | 2% |
| 12-2024 | 13 | 2% |
| 12-2025 | 13 | 2% |
| 12-2026 | 14 | 2% |
| 12-2027 | 14 | 4% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -1444% in 12-2017 to -1387% by 12-2027, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2017 | (151) | -1444% |
| 12-2018 | (157) | -1429% |
| 12-2019 | (163) | -1419% |
| 12-2020 | (165) | -1411% |
| 12-2021 | (173) | -1402% |
| 12-2022 | (175) | -1394% |
| 12-2023 | (179) | -1393% |
| 12-2024 | (182) | -1391% |
| 12-2025 | (186) | -1390% |
| 12-2026 | (189) | -1388% |
| 12-2027 | (196) | -1387% |
with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 1% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2018 | 0 |
| 12-2019 | 0 |
| 12-2020 | 0 |
| 12-2021 | 0 |
| 12-2022 | 0 |
| 12-2023 | 0 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 349 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 0 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3M/2018 | (16) | (0) | 0 | (4) | (11) |
| 2019 | (64) | (1) | 0 | 4 | (67) |
| 2020 | (64) | (1) | 0 | 5 | (69) |
| 2021 | (67) | (1) | 0 | (3) | (63) |
| 2022 | (67) | (1) | 0 | 2 | (68) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -114598003.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -104355748.5% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | NaN% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | NaN% |
Is Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc (HMNY) a buy or a sell? Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Helios and Matheson Analytics Inc (HMNY) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -104355748.5%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.00.