As of May 23, 2025, Gusbourne PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $10.00, this represents a potential upside of -6408.1%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -5072.6% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -6408.1% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 4.0% - 6.4% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $7 million in 12-2023 to $32 million by 12-2033, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 16.4%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2023 | 7 | 13% |
| 12-2024 | 8 | 16% |
| 12-2025 | 10 | 17% |
| 12-2026 | 12 | 23% |
| 12-2027 | 14 | 22% |
| 12-2028 | 17 | 17% |
| 12-2029 | 20 | 18% |
| 12-2030 | 23 | 15% |
| 12-2031 | 26 | 14% |
| 12-2032 | 29 | 12% |
| 12-2033 | 32 | 11% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -42% in 12-2023 to -28% by 12-2033, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2023 | (3) | -42% |
| 12-2024 | (3) | -33% |
| 12-2025 | (3) | -32% |
| 12-2026 | (4) | -31% |
| 12-2027 | (4) | -30% |
| 12-2028 | (5) | -29% |
| 12-2029 | (6) | -28% |
| 12-2030 | (6) | -28% |
| 12-2031 | (7) | -28% |
| 12-2032 | (8) | -28% |
| 12-2033 | (9) | -28% |
with a 5-year average of $1 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 20% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2024 | 1 |
| 12-2025 | 2 |
| 12-2026 | 2 |
| 12-2027 | 2 |
| 12-2028 | 2 |
| 12-2029 | 3 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 55 |
| Days Inventory | 2,145 |
| Days Payables | 132 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2024 | (0) | (0) | 1 | (0) | (0) |
| 2025 | (1) | (1) | 2 | 2 | (4) |
| 2026 | (1) | (1) | 2 | 4 | (6) |
| 2027 | (1) | (1) | 3 | 3 | (5) |
| 2028 | (1) | (1) | 3 | 3 | (6) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -5072.6% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -6408.1% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Gusbourne PLC (GUS.L) a buy or a sell? Gusbourne PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Gusbourne PLC (GUS.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -6408.1%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $10.00.