As of May 27, 2025, Greenbrook TMS Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.97, this represents a potential upside of -10641.8%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -8293.6% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -10641.8% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.3% - 11.2% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $69 million in 12-2022 to $329 million by 12-2032, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 16.9%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2022 | 69 | 32% |
| 12-2023 | 99 | 43% |
| 12-2024 | 118 | 19% |
| 12-2025 | 142 | 21% |
| 12-2026 | 167 | 17% |
| 12-2027 | 195 | 17% |
| 12-2028 | 221 | 13% |
| 12-2029 | 249 | 13% |
| 12-2030 | 272 | 10% |
| 12-2031 | 299 | 10% |
| 12-2032 | 329 | 10% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -90% in 12-2022 to -56% by 12-2032, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2022 | (62) | -90% |
| 12-2023 | (64) | -64% |
| 12-2024 | (74) | -63% |
| 12-2025 | (87) | -61% |
| 12-2026 | (99) | -59% |
| 12-2027 | (112) | -58% |
| 12-2028 | (127) | -57% |
| 12-2029 | (142) | -57% |
| 12-2030 | (155) | -57% |
| 12-2031 | (169) | -56% |
| 12-2032 | (185) | -56% |
. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2023 | 0 |
| 12-2024 | 0 |
| 12-2025 | 0 |
| 12-2026 | 0 |
| 12-2027 | 0 |
| 12-2028 | 0 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 80 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 126 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | (74) | (23) | 0 | 8 | (59) |
| 2024 | (85) | (27) | 0 | 0 | (59) |
| 2025 | (100) | (31) | 0 | 0 | (69) |
| 2026 | (114) | (36) | 0 | 5 | (83) |
| 2027 | (128) | (40) | 0 | 2 | (90) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -8293.6% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -10641.8% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Greenbrook TMS Inc (GTMS.TO) a buy or a sell? Greenbrook TMS Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Greenbrook TMS Inc (GTMS.TO) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -10641.8%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.97.