What is GTG.CN's Intrinsic value?

Great Thunder Gold Corp (GTG.CN) Intrinsic Value Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 23, 2025, Great Thunder Gold Corp's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $0.00 to $0.00 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.

Valuation Method Fair Value (USD) Implied Upside/Downside

Is Great Thunder Gold Corp (GTG.CN) undervalued or overvalued?

With the current market price at $0.34, the stock appears to be significantly overvalued.

Understanding Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Great Thunder Gold Corp's intrinsic value, including:

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.

WACC Component Low High
Long-term bond rate 3.4% 3.9%
Equity market risk premium 4.7% 5.7%
Adjusted beta 0.75 1.27
Cost of equity 6.9% 11.6%
Cost of debt 5.0% 5.0%
Tax rate 26.5% 26.5%
Debt/Equity ratio 1 1
After-tax WACC 5.3% 7.6%

Valuation Methods

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Value
Market Capitalization $14M
Enterprise Value $10M
Trailing P/E 0.00
Forward P/E 0.00
Trailing EV/EBITDA 0.00
Current Dividend Yield 0.00%
Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) 0.00%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.81

Investment Decision Framework

To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:

  1. Forecast Certainty: DCF methods rely on long-term projections, while earnings power value focuses on current normalized earnings
  2. Business Model Alignment: Dividend models are more appropriate for mature companies with established dividend policies
  3. Historical Accuracy: How well each method has predicted fair value historically

Valuation Weight Matrix

Valuation Method Weight Weighted Value
Weighted Average 100% $0.00

Investment Conclusion

Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Great Thunder Gold Corp's weighted average intrinsic value is $0.00, which is approximately 100.0% below the current market price of $0.34.

Key investment considerations:

  • Overall financial health and market position

Given these factors, we believe Great Thunder Gold Corp is currently significantly overvalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.