As of May 23, 2025, Green Landscaping Group AB's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $42.23 to $181.75 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $102.96 | +63.2% |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $79.66 | +26.2% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $54.66 | -13.4% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | $42.23 | -33.1% |
| Earnings Power Value | $181.75 | +188.0% |
Is Green Landscaping Group AB (GREEN.ST) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $63.10, the stock appears to be significantly undervalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Green Landscaping Group AB's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 2.5% | 3.0% |
| Equity market risk premium | 5.1% | 6.1% |
| Adjusted beta | 0.6 | 0.76 |
| Cost of equity | 5.6% | 8.2% |
| Cost of debt | 4.6% | 6.1% |
| Tax rate | 25.2% | 26.0% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| After-tax WACC | 4.6% | 6.5% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $80 | $6,638M | 81.5% |
| 10-Year Growth | $103 | $7,962M | 67.6% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $27 | $3,667M | 66.5% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $52 | $5,093M | 49.4% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $673M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 6.5% - 4.6% |
| Enterprise Value | $10,293M - $14,581M |
| Net Debt | $2,114M |
| Equity Value | $8,179M - $12,467M |
| Outstanding Shares | 57M |
| Fair Value | $144 - $219 |
| Selected Fair Value | $181.75 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $3584M |
| Enterprise Value | $5698M |
| Trailing P/E | 23.27 |
| Forward P/E | 16.94 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 5.00 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 62.96% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | 0.00% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.81 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 30% | $30.89 |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 25% | $19.91 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 20% | $10.93 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | 15% | $6.33 |
| Earnings Power Value | 10% | $18.17 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $86.24 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Green Landscaping Group AB's weighted average intrinsic value is $86.24, which is approximately 36.7% above the current market price of $63.10.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe Green Landscaping Group AB is currently significantly undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.