As of May 27, 2025, GoPro Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.58, this represents a potential upside of -190.8%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -1202.9% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -190.8% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 4.7% - 7.4% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $801 million in 12-2024 to $951 million by 12-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 1.7%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2024 | 801 | 20% |
| 12-2025 | 747 | -7% |
| 12-2026 | 778 | 4% |
| 12-2027 | 788 | 1% |
| 12-2028 | 804 | 2% |
| 12-2029 | 835 | 4% |
| 12-2030 | 870 | 4% |
| 12-2031 | 887 | 2% |
| 12-2032 | 915 | 3% |
| 12-2033 | 933 | 2% |
| 12-2034 | 951 | 2% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -54% in 12-2024 to 1% by 12-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2024 | (432) | -54% |
| 12-2025 | (73) | -10% |
| 12-2026 | (58) | -7% |
| 12-2027 | (41) | -5% |
| 12-2028 | (26) | -3% |
| 12-2029 | (10) | -1% |
| 12-2030 | (7) | -1% |
| 12-2031 | (4) | 0% |
| 12-2032 | (1) | 0% |
| 12-2033 | 2 | 0% |
| 12-2034 | 6 | 1% |
with a 5-year average of $4 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2025 | 3 |
| 12-2026 | 3 |
| 12-2027 | 3 |
| 12-2028 | 3 |
| 12-2029 | 3 |
| 12-2030 | 3 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 33 |
| Days Inventory | 69 |
| Days Payables | 35 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9M/2025 | (70) | (20) | 2 | (71) | 20 |
| 2026 | (73) | (21) | 3 | 14 | (69) |
| 2027 | (50) | (15) | 3 | 16 | (54) |
| 2028 | (28) | (9) | 3 | (15) | (7) |
| 2029 | (7) | (4) | 3 | 7 | (13) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -1202.9% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -190.8% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is GoPro Inc (GPRO) a buy or a sell? GoPro Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, GoPro Inc (GPRO) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -190.8%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.58.