What is GOK.V's Intrinsic value?

Ginsms Inc (GOK.V) Intrinsic Value Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 5, 2025, Ginsms Inc's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $0.00 to $0.00 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.

Valuation Method Fair Value (USD) Implied Upside/Downside
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) $0.00 -63.4%
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) $0.00 -94.1%
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) $0.00 -28.1%
Earnings Power Value $0.00 -53.2%

Is Ginsms Inc (GOK.V) undervalued or overvalued?

With the current market price at $0.01, the stock appears to be significantly overvalued.

Understanding Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Ginsms Inc's intrinsic value, including:

  1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF): Values the company based on projected future cash flows
  2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM): Values the company based on expected future dividend payments
  3. Earnings Power Value (EPV): Values the company based on its current earnings power, assuming no growth

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.

WACC Component Low High
Long-term bond rate 3.9% 4.4%
Equity market risk premium 5.1% 6.1%
Adjusted beta 0.33 0.46
Cost of equity 5.5% 7.7%
Cost of debt 4.0% 7.0%
Tax rate 7.5% 19.7%
Debt/Equity ratio 1.13 1.13
After-tax WACC 4.6% 6.6%

Valuation Methods

1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Valuation

Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:

  • Forecast Period: 5-year DCF and 10-year DCF
  • Terminal Growth Rate: 0.0% (range: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Discount Rate: 5.6% (range: 0.0% - 9.3%)

Key Projections:

  • Revenue growth from $3 (FY12-2024) to $2 (FY12-2034)
  • Net profit margin expansion from 1% to 6%
  • Capital expenditures maintained at approximately 1% of revenue
DCF Model Fair Value Enterprise Value % from Terminal Value
5-Year Growth $0 $2M 77.3%
10-Year Growth $0 $3M 72.1%
5-Year EBITDA $(1,234) $1M 61.3%
10-Year EBITDA $(1,234) $2M 52.8%

2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:

Multi-Stage DDM:

  • Current payout ratio: 0.0%
  • Stable payout ratio: 90.0%
  • Growth transition: 5 years
  • Cost of equity: 6.6%
  • Long-term growth rate: 3.0%
  • Fair value: $0.00 (-28.1% from current price)

Stable DDM:

  • Stable payout ratio: 70% (Low) to 90% (High)
  • Cost of equity: 7.7% (Low) to 5.5% (High)
  • Long-term growth rate: 2.0% (Low) to 4.0% (High)
  • Fair value range: $(0) to $(0)
  • Selected fair value: $-0.03 (-618.8% from current price)

3. Earnings Power Value (EPV)

EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.

EPV Component Value
Normalized Earnings $0M
Discount Rate (WACC) 6.6% - 4.6%
Enterprise Value $2M - $3M
Net Debt $2M
Equity Value $0M - $1M
Outstanding Shares 374M
Fair Value $0 - $0
Selected Fair Value $0.00

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Value
Market Capitalization $2M
Enterprise Value $4M
Trailing P/E 0.00
Forward P/E 84.05
Trailing EV/EBITDA 10.20
Current Dividend Yield 62.96%
Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) 0.00%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 1.13

Investment Decision Framework

To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:

  1. Forecast Certainty: DCF methods rely on long-term projections, while earnings power value focuses on current normalized earnings
  2. Business Model Alignment: Dividend models are more appropriate for mature companies with established dividend policies
  3. Historical Accuracy: How well each method has predicted fair value historically

Valuation Weight Matrix

Valuation Method Weight Weighted Value
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) 35% $0.00
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) 29% $0.00
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) 24% $0.00
Earnings Power Value 12% $0.00
Weighted Average 100% $0.00

Investment Conclusion

Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Ginsms Inc's weighted average intrinsic value is $0.00, which is approximately 62.9% below the current market price of $0.01.

Key investment considerations:

  • Strong projected earnings growth (1% to 6% margin)

Given these factors, we believe Ginsms Inc is currently significantly overvalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.