As of December 15, 2025, Greystone Logistics Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $1.26 per share. With the current market price at $0.55, this represents a potential upside of 129.6%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $1.27 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $1.26 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | 130.5% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | 129.6% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 6.6% - 8.9% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $58 million in 05-2025 to $61 million by 05-2035, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 0.5%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 05-2025 | 58 | 6% |
| 05-2026 | 46 | -20% |
| 05-2027 | 47 | 2% |
| 05-2028 | 48 | 2% |
| 05-2029 | 49 | 2% |
| 05-2030 | 50 | 2% |
| 05-2031 | 51 | 2% |
| 05-2032 | 55 | 8% |
| 05-2033 | 56 | 2% |
| 05-2034 | 58 | 4% |
| 05-2035 | 61 | 4% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from 4% in 05-2025 to 4% by 05-2035, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 05-2025 | 2 | 4% |
| 05-2026 | 2 | 4% |
| 05-2027 | 2 | 4% |
| 05-2028 | 2 | 4% |
| 05-2029 | 2 | 4% |
| 05-2030 | 2 | 4% |
| 05-2031 | 2 | 4% |
| 05-2032 | 2 | 4% |
| 05-2033 | 2 | 4% |
| 05-2034 | 3 | 4% |
| 05-2035 | 3 | 4% |
with a 5-year average of $5 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 8% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 05-2026 | 6 |
| 05-2027 | 5 |
| 05-2028 | 4 |
| 05-2029 | 4 |
| 05-2030 | 4 |
| 05-2031 | 4 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 30 |
| Days Inventory | 29 |
| Days Payables | 0 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9M/2026 | 7 | 1 | 3 | (1) | 5 |
| 2027 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 2028 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2029 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2030 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 1.27 | 130.5% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 1.26 | 129.6% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 1.40 | 154.2% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 1.45 | 163.9% |
Is Greystone Logistics Inc (GLGI) a buy or a sell? Greystone Logistics Inc is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Greystone Logistics Inc (GLGI) appears to be significantly undervalued with upside potential of 129.6%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider a strong buy at the current market price of $0.55.