What is GE's Intrinsic value?

General Electric Co (GE) Intrinsic Value Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 27, 2025, General Electric Co's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $83.80 to $262.68 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.

Valuation Method Fair Value (USD) Implied Upside/Downside
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) $262.68 +12.8%
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) $235.93 +1.3%
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) $224.29 -3.6%
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) $249.07 +7.0%
Earnings Power Value $83.80 -64.0%

Is General Electric Co (GE) undervalued or overvalued?

With the current market price at $232.79, the stock appears to be fairly valued.

Understanding Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate General Electric Co's intrinsic value, including:

  1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF): Values the company based on projected future cash flows
  2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM): Values the company based on expected future dividend payments
  3. Earnings Power Value (EPV): Values the company based on its current earnings power, assuming no growth

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.

WACC Component Low High
Long-term bond rate 3.9% 4.4%
Equity market risk premium 4.6% 5.6%
Adjusted beta 0.55 0.73
Cost of equity 6.4% 9.0%
Cost of debt 4.2% 4.8%
Tax rate 10.3% 11.5%
Debt/Equity ratio 0.08 0.08
After-tax WACC 6.2% 8.6%

Valuation Methods

1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Valuation

Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:

  • Forecast Period: 5-year DCF and 10-year DCF
  • Terminal Growth Rate: 0.0% (range: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Discount Rate: 7.4% (range: 0.0% - 9.3%)

Key Projections:

  • Revenue growth from $38,702 (FY12-2024) to $53,041 (FY12-2034)
  • Net profit margin expansion from 17% to 33%
  • Capital expenditures maintained at approximately 3% of revenue
DCF Model Fair Value Enterprise Value % from Terminal Value
5-Year Growth $236 $258,757M 86.4%
10-Year Growth $263 $287,288M 74.0%
5-Year EBITDA $160 $177,863M 80.2%
10-Year EBITDA $188 $208,018M 64.0%

2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:

Multi-Stage DDM:

  • Current payout ratio: 17.5%
  • Stable payout ratio: 90.0%
  • Growth transition: 5 years
  • Cost of equity: 7.7%
  • Long-term growth rate: 4.0%
  • Fair value: $224.29 (-3.6% from current price)

Stable DDM:

  • Stable payout ratio: 70% (Low) to 90% (High)
  • Cost of equity: 9.0% (Low) to 6.4% (High)
  • Long-term growth rate: 3.0% (Low) to 5.0% (High)
  • Fair value range: $77 to $421
  • Selected fair value: $249.07 (7.0% from current price)

3. Earnings Power Value (EPV)

EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.

EPV Component Value
Normalized Earnings $6,973M
Discount Rate (WACC) 8.6% - 6.2%
Enterprise Value $80,858M - $112,203M
Net Debt $7,166M
Equity Value $73,692M - $105,037M
Outstanding Shares 1,066M
Fair Value $69 - $98
Selected Fair Value $83.80

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Value
Market Capitalization $248245M
Enterprise Value $255411M
Trailing P/E 35.49
Forward P/E 29.76
Trailing EV/EBITDA 14.70
Current Dividend Yield 49.31%
Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) 11.68%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 0.08

Investment Decision Framework

To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:

  1. Forecast Certainty: DCF methods rely on long-term projections, while earnings power value focuses on current normalized earnings
  2. Business Model Alignment: Dividend models are more appropriate for mature companies with established dividend policies
  3. Historical Accuracy: How well each method has predicted fair value historically

Valuation Weight Matrix

Valuation Method Weight Weighted Value
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) 30% $78.80
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) 25% $58.98
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) 20% $44.86
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) 15% $37.36
Earnings Power Value 10% $8.38
Weighted Average 100% $228.39

Investment Conclusion

Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, General Electric Co's weighted average intrinsic value is $228.39, which is approximately 1.9% below the current market price of $232.79.

Key investment considerations:

  • Strong projected earnings growth (17% to 33% margin)
  • Consistent cash flow generation
  • Conservative capital structure (Debt/Equity of 0.08)
  • Historical dividend growth of 11.68%

Given these factors, we believe General Electric Co is currently fairly valued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.