As of June 20, 2025, Good Natured Products Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.01, this represents a potential upside of -7984.5%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -14805.9% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -7984.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 6.9% - 12.5% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $77 million in 12-2023 to $583 million by 12-2033, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 22.4%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2023 | 77 | 24% |
| 12-2024 | 82 | 7% |
| 12-2025 | 96 | 17% |
| 12-2026 | 134 | 39% |
| 12-2027 | 173 | 29% |
| 12-2028 | 227 | 31% |
| 12-2029 | 282 | 24% |
| 12-2030 | 348 | 23% |
| 12-2031 | 419 | 20% |
| 12-2032 | 495 | 18% |
| 12-2033 | 583 | 18% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -20% in 12-2023 to -4% by 12-2033, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2023 | (15) | -20% |
| 12-2024 | (16) | -20% |
| 12-2025 | (16) | -16% |
| 12-2026 | (17) | -13% |
| 12-2027 | (17) | -10% |
| 12-2028 | (16) | -7% |
| 12-2029 | (18) | -6% |
| 12-2030 | (20) | -6% |
| 12-2031 | (22) | -5% |
| 12-2032 | (23) | -5% |
| 12-2033 | (24) | -4% |
with a 5-year average of $5 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 8% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2024 | 6 |
| 12-2025 | 7 |
| 12-2026 | 8 |
| 12-2027 | 8 |
| 12-2028 | 11 |
| 12-2029 | 14 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 53 |
| Days Inventory | 88 |
| Days Payables | 0 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9M/2024 | (2) | (0) | 5 | 4 | (10) |
| 2025 | 1 | (0) | 7 | (1) | (5) |
| 2026 | 4 | (0) | 10 | 11 | (17) |
| 2027 | 8 | (0) | 13 | 10 | (15) |
| 2028 | 17 | (0) | 17 | 11 | (10) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -14805.9% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -7984.5% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Good Natured Products Inc (GDNP.V) a buy or a sell? Good Natured Products Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Good Natured Products Inc (GDNP.V) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -7984.5%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.01.