What is FTN.TO's DCF valuation?

Financial 15 Split Corp (FTN.TO) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 4, 2025, Financial 15 Split Corp has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $59.65 per share. With the current market price at $9.10, this represents a potential upside of 555.5%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $54.29
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $59.65
Potential Upside (5-year) 496.5%
Potential Upside (10-year) 555.5%
Discount Rate (WACC) 7.1% - 8.4%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $356 million in 11-2024 to $469 million by 11-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 2.8%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
11-2024 356 6429%
11-2025 372 5%
11-2026 385 3%
11-2027 393 2%
11-2028 401 2%
11-2029 409 2%
11-2030 417 2%
11-2031 442 6%
11-2032 451 2%
11-2033 460 2%
11-2034 469 2%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from 104% in 11-2024 to 76% by 11-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
11-2024 369 104%
11-2025 283 76%
11-2026 293 76%
11-2027 299 76%
11-2028 305 76%
11-2029 311 76%
11-2030 317 76%
11-2031 336 76%
11-2032 343 76%
11-2033 350 76%
11-2034 357 76%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
11-2025 0
11-2026 0
11-2027 0
11-2028 0
11-2029 0
11-2030 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 0
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 0

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
2025 361 102 0 0 259
2026 373 106 0 0 268
2027 381 108 0 0 273
2028 388 110 0 0 278
2029 396 112 0 0 284

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 7.1% - 8.4%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 0.0% - 1.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 3.4x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 54.29 496.5%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 59.65 555.5%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 26.08 186.6%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 37.40 310.9%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $3,775M
  • 10-Year Model: $4,106M

Investment Conclusion

Is Financial 15 Split Corp (FTN.TO) a buy or a sell? Financial 15 Split Corp is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Financial 15 Split Corp (FTN.TO) appears to be significantly undervalued with upside potential of 555.5%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Steady revenue growth (2.8% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider a strong buy at the current market price of $9.10.