What is FRA's DCF valuation?

BlackRock Floating Rate Income Strategies Fund Inc (FRA) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 29, 2025, BlackRock Floating Rate Income Strategies Fund Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $9.07 per share. With the current market price at $12.65, this represents a potential upside of -28.3%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $7.39
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $9.07
Potential Upside (5-year) -41.6%
Potential Upside (10-year) -28.3%
Discount Rate (WACC) 7.6% - 10.2%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $57 million in 12-2023 to $96 million by 12-2033, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 5.4%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2023 57 44%
12-2024 60 5%
12-2025 63 5%
12-2026 68 9%
12-2027 74 8%
12-2028 77 5%
12-2029 83 7%
12-2030 88 6%
12-2031 90 2%
12-2032 93 3%
12-2033 96 3%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from 110% in 12-2023 to 81% by 12-2033, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2023 63 110%
12-2024 48 81%
12-2025 50 81%
12-2026 55 81%
12-2027 59 81%
12-2028 62 81%
12-2029 67 81%
12-2030 71 81%
12-2031 72 81%
12-2032 75 81%
12-2033 77 81%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2024 0
12-2025 0
12-2026 0
12-2027 0
12-2028 0
12-2029 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 82
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 570

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
2024 46 18 0 (7) 35
2025 48 19 0 9 21
2026 52 20 0 (4) 36
2027 56 22 0 (1) 36
2028 59 23 0 2 34

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 7.6% - 10.2%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 0.0% - 1.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 18.2x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 7.39 -41.6%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 9.07 -28.3%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 18.39 45.3%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 18.35 45.1%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $406M
  • 10-Year Model: $465M

Investment Conclusion

Is BlackRock Floating Rate Income Strategies Fund Inc (FRA) a buy or a sell? BlackRock Floating Rate Income Strategies Fund Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, BlackRock Floating Rate Income Strategies Fund Inc (FRA) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -28.3%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Steady revenue growth (5.4% CAGR)

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $12.65.