As of June 2, 2025, Force Protection Video Equipment Corp has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.00, this represents a potential upside of -153.5%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -143.6% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -153.5% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 6.9% - 9.2% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $2 million in 12-2020 to $7 million by 12-2030, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 13.3%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2020 | 2 | 3324% |
| 12-2021 | 3 | 20% |
| 12-2022 | 3 | 17% |
| 12-2023 | 4 | 18% |
| 12-2024 | 4 | 13% |
| 12-2025 | 4 | 10% |
| 12-2026 | 5 | 10% |
| 12-2027 | 5 | 7% |
| 12-2028 | 6 | 11% |
| 12-2029 | 6 | 8% |
| 12-2030 | 7 | 7% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -715% in 12-2020 to -515% by 12-2030, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2020 | (16) | -715% |
| 12-2021 | (14) | -521% |
| 12-2022 | (16) | -519% |
| 12-2023 | (19) | -518% |
| 12-2024 | (21) | -517% |
| 12-2025 | (23) | -516% |
| 12-2026 | (25) | -516% |
| 12-2027 | (27) | -515% |
| 12-2028 | (30) | -515% |
| 12-2029 | (33) | -515% |
| 12-2030 | (35) | -515% |
with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 10% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2021 | 0 |
| 12-2022 | 0 |
| 12-2023 | 0 |
| 12-2024 | 0 |
| 12-2025 | 0 |
| 12-2026 | 0 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 76 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 0 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3M/2021 | (3) | (1) | 0 | (0) | (1) |
| 2022 | (12) | (6) | 0 | 0 | (6) |
| 2023 | (14) | (7) | 0 | 0 | (8) |
| 2024 | (15) | (8) | 0 | (0) | (8) |
| 2025 | (17) | (9) | 0 | 0 | (9) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -143.6% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -153.5% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | NaN% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | NaN% |
Is Force Protection Video Equipment Corp (FPVD) a buy or a sell? Force Protection Video Equipment Corp is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Force Protection Video Equipment Corp (FPVD) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -153.5%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.00.