As of May 22, 2025, Flower One Holdings Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.01, this represents a potential upside of -147937988.7%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -76862350.4% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -147937988.7% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.2% - 5.5% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $58 million in 12-2021 to $1614 million by 12-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 39.5%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2021 | 58 | 70% |
| 12-2022 | 118 | 103% |
| 12-2023 | 177 | 50% |
| 12-2024 | 264 | 49% |
| 12-2025 | 376 | 42% |
| 12-2026 | 502 | 34% |
| 12-2027 | 662 | 32% |
| 12-2028 | 852 | 29% |
| 12-2029 | 1087 | 27% |
| 12-2030 | 1328 | 22% |
| 12-2031 | 1614 | 22% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -42% in 12-2021 to -27% by 12-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2021 | (24) | -42% |
| 12-2022 | (46) | -39% |
| 12-2023 | (64) | -36% |
| 12-2024 | (88) | -34% |
| 12-2025 | (117) | -31% |
| 12-2026 | (144) | -29% |
| 12-2027 | (187) | -28% |
| 12-2028 | (237) | -28% |
| 12-2029 | (298) | -27% |
| 12-2030 | (359) | -27% |
| 12-2031 | (429) | -27% |
with a 5-year average of $22 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 10782% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2022 | 2572 |
| 12-2023 | 6387 |
| 12-2024 | 12069 |
| 12-2025 | 20167 |
| 12-2026 | 30996 |
| 12-2027 | 42720 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 52 |
| Days Inventory | 1,140 |
| Days Payables | 0 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2022 | 1265 | (0) | 6376 | 101 | (5,212) |
| 2023 | 6329 | (0) | 19131 | (75) | (12,728) |
| 2024 | 11988 | (1) | 28459 | 94 | (16,564) |
| 2025 | 20061 | (1) | 40491 | 164 | (20,593) |
| 2026 | 30867 | (1) | 54149 | 26 | (23,307) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -76862350.4% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -147937988.7% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 58.01 | 580044.6% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 299.40 | 2993927.0% |
Is Flower One Holdings Inc (FONE.CN) a buy or a sell? Flower One Holdings Inc is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Flower One Holdings Inc (FONE.CN) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -147937988.7%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.01.