As of December 15, 2025, Filta Group Holdings PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $295.28 per share. With the current market price at $170.00, this represents a potential upside of 73.7%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $71.55 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $295.28 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -57.9% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | 73.7% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.3% - 9.7% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $16 million in 12-2020 to $73 million by 12-2030, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 16.4%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2020 | 16 | 34% |
| 12-2021 | 21 | 26% |
| 12-2022 | 27 | 31% |
| 12-2023 | 33 | 22% |
| 12-2024 | 40 | 20% |
| 12-2025 | 48 | 20% |
| 12-2026 | 53 | 12% |
| 12-2027 | 59 | 12% |
| 12-2028 | 64 | 8% |
| 12-2029 | 69 | 8% |
| 12-2030 | 73 | 7% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -6% in 12-2020 to 7% by 12-2030, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2020 | (1) | -6% |
| 12-2021 | (0) | -2% |
| 12-2022 | 0 | 0% |
| 12-2023 | 1 | 2% |
| 12-2024 | 1 | 4% |
| 12-2025 | 3 | 5% |
| 12-2026 | 3 | 6% |
| 12-2027 | 4 | 6% |
| 12-2028 | 4 | 6% |
| 12-2029 | 5 | 7% |
| 12-2030 | 5 | 7% |
with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 2% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2021 | 0 |
| 12-2022 | 0 |
| 12-2023 | 0 |
| 12-2024 | 1 |
| 12-2025 | 1 |
| 12-2026 | 1 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 74 |
| Days Inventory | 59 |
| Days Payables | 87 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2021 | 0 | (0) | 0 | 0 | (1) |
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | (0) |
| 2023 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | (0) |
| 2024 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 2025 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 71.55 | -57.9% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 295.28 | 73.7% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 59.73 | -64.9% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 145.32 | -14.5% |
Is Filta Group Holdings PLC (FLTA.L) a buy or a sell? Filta Group Holdings PLC is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Filta Group Holdings PLC (FLTA.L) appears to be significantly undervalued with upside potential of 73.7%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider a strong buy at the current market price of $170.00.