What is FEV.L's DCF valuation?

Fidelity European Values PLC (FEV.L) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of April 4, 2026, Fidelity European Values PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $830.21 per share. With the current market price at $387.50, this represents a potential upside of 114.2%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $770.99
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $830.21
Potential Upside (5-year) 99.0%
Potential Upside (10-year) 114.2%
Discount Rate (WACC) 7.0% - 9.0%

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Revenue is projected to grow from $297 million in 12-2021 to $403 million by 12-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 3.1%.

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2021 297 152%
12-2022 311 5%
12-2023 325 5%
12-2024 332 2%
12-2025 343 3%
12-2026 350 2%
12-2027 357 2%
12-2028 368 3%
12-2029 376 2%
12-2030 383 2%
12-2031 403 5%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from 95% in 12-2021 to 95% by 12-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2021 282 95%
12-2022 295 95%
12-2023 309 95%
12-2024 316 95%
12-2025 326 95%
12-2026 333 95%
12-2027 340 95%
12-2028 350 95%
12-2029 357 95%
12-2030 364 95%
12-2031 383 95%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2022 0
12-2023 0
12-2024 0
12-2025 0
12-2026 0
12-2027 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 1
Days Inventory 0
Days Payables 0

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
2022 300 4 0 0 296
2023 314 4 0 0 310
2024 320 4 0 (0) 317
2025 331 4 0 0 327
2026 338 4 0 0 333

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): WACC / Discount Rate (selected: 7.0% - 9.0%)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: Long-term Growth Rate (selected: 0.0% - 1.0%)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 6.2x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 770.99 99.0%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 830.21 114.2%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 486.29 25.5%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 610.59 57.6%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $4,263M
  • 10-Year Model: $4,592M

Investment Conclusion

Is Fidelity European Values PLC (FEV.L) a buy or a sell? Fidelity European Values PLC is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Fidelity European Values PLC (FEV.L) appears to be significantly undervalued with upside potential of 114.2%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Steady revenue growth (3.1% CAGR)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider a strong buy at the current market price of $387.50.