As of May 23, 2025, F&C Investment Trust PLC's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $736.19 to $2619.79 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
---|---|---|
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $2619.79 | +142.3% |
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $2445.91 | +126.3% |
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $1648.29 | +52.5% |
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | $1774.50 | +64.2% |
Earnings Power Value | $736.19 | -31.9% |
Is F&C Investment Trust PLC (FCIT.L) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $1081.00, the stock appears to be significantly undervalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate F&C Investment Trust PLC's intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
WACC Component | Low | High |
---|---|---|
Long-term bond rate | 4.0% | 4.5% |
Equity market risk premium | 6.0% | 7.0% |
Adjusted beta | 0.97 | 1.02 |
Cost of equity | 9.8% | 12.1% |
Cost of debt | 4.0% | 4.6% |
Tax rate | 1.4% | 1.8% |
Debt/Equity ratio | 0.12 | 0.12 |
After-tax WACC | 9.2% | 11.3% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
---|---|---|---|
5-Year Growth | $2,446 | $11,526M | 62.3% |
10-Year Growth | $2,620 | $12,311M | 40.3% |
5-Year EBITDA | $1,716 | $8,233M | 47.2% |
10-Year EBITDA | $2,115 | $10,034M | 26.8% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
EPV Component | Value |
---|---|
Normalized Earnings | $386M |
Discount Rate (WACC) | 11.3% - 9.2% |
Enterprise Value | $3,420M - $4,201M |
Net Debt | $488M |
Equity Value | $2,931M - $3,713M |
Outstanding Shares | 5M |
Fair Value | $650 - $823 |
Selected Fair Value | $736.19 |
Metric | Value |
---|---|
Market Capitalization | $4878M |
Enterprise Value | $5366M |
Trailing P/E | 4.88 |
Forward P/E | 4.67 |
Trailing EV/EBITDA | 5.50 |
Current Dividend Yield | 150.93% |
Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | 4.76% |
Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.12 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
---|---|---|
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 30% | $785.94 |
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 25% | $611.48 |
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 20% | $329.66 |
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | 15% | $266.18 |
Earnings Power Value | 10% | $73.62 |
Weighted Average | 100% | $2066.87 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, F&C Investment Trust PLC's weighted average intrinsic value is $2066.87, which is approximately 91.2% above the current market price of $1081.00.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe F&C Investment Trust PLC is currently significantly undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.