As of May 22, 2025, Eagle Eye Solutions Group PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $384.00, this represents a potential upside of -148.3%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -159.7% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -148.3% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.3% - 8.4% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $48 million in 06-2024 to $140 million by 06-2034, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 11.3%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 06-2024 | 48 | 11% |
| 06-2025 | 49 | 3% |
| 06-2026 | 54 | 10% |
| 06-2027 | 64 | 19% |
| 06-2028 | 75 | 17% |
| 06-2029 | 84 | 12% |
| 06-2030 | 94 | 12% |
| 06-2031 | 103 | 10% |
| 06-2032 | 117 | 13% |
| 06-2033 | 126 | 8% |
| 06-2034 | 140 | 11% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from 12% in 06-2024 to 2% by 06-2034, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 06-2024 | 6 | 12% |
| 06-2025 | 1 | 1% |
| 06-2026 | 1 | 1% |
| 06-2027 | 1 | 2% |
| 06-2028 | 1 | 2% |
| 06-2029 | 1 | 2% |
| 06-2030 | 2 | 2% |
| 06-2031 | 2 | 2% |
| 06-2032 | 2 | 2% |
| 06-2033 | 2 | 2% |
| 06-2034 | 3 | 2% |
with a 5-year average of $5 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 14% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 06-2025 | 6 |
| 06-2026 | 7 |
| 06-2027 | 7 |
| 06-2028 | 8 |
| 06-2029 | 9 |
| 06-2030 | 11 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 78 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 623 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2025 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | (2) |
| 2026 | 8 | 0 | 8 | (0) | (0) |
| 2027 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 1 | (2) |
| 2028 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 3 | (4) |
| 2029 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 1 | (2) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -159.7% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -148.3% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 154.28 | -59.8% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 170.35 | -55.6% |
Is Eagle Eye Solutions Group PLC (EYE.L) a buy or a sell? Eagle Eye Solutions Group PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Eagle Eye Solutions Group PLC (EYE.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -148.3%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $384.00.