What is ETEK's DCF valuation?

Eco-Tek Group Inc (ETEK) DCF Valuation Analysis

Executive Summary

As of May 29, 2025, Eco-Tek Group Inc has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $0.00, this represents a potential upside of 0.0%.

Key Metrics Value
DCF Fair Value (5-year) $0.00
DCF Fair Value (10-year) $0.00
Potential Upside (5-year) 0.0%
Potential Upside (10-year) 0.0%
Discount Rate (WACC) -

Financial Performance & Projections

Revenue Trends

Fiscal Year Revenue (USD millions) Growth
12-2012 0 -
12-2013 0 8%
12-2014 0 5%
12-2015 0 6%
12-2016 0 4%
12-2017 0 4%
12-2018 0 2%
12-2019 0 3%
12-2020 0 6%
12-2021 0 8%
12-2022 0 7%

Profitability Projections

Net profit margin is expected to improve from -308% in 12-2012 to -100% by 12-2022, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.

Fiscal Year Net Profit (USD millions) Profit Margin
12-2012 (1) -308%
12-2013 (1) -68%
12-2014 (1) -70%
12-2015 (1) -74%
12-2016 (1) -76%
12-2017 (1) -78%
12-2018 (1) -79%
12-2019 (1) -82%
12-2020 (1) -86%
12-2021 (1) -93%
12-2022 (1) -100%

DCF Model Components

1. Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.

2. Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.

Fiscal Year D&A (USD millions)
12-2013 0
12-2014 0
12-2015 0
12-2016 0
12-2017 0
12-2018 0

3. Working Capital Requirements

Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.

Components Average Days
Days Receivables 16
Days Inventory 8
Days Payables 0

4. Free Cash Flow Projections

Fiscal Year EBITDA Tax CapEx Change in NWC FCF
3M/2013 (0) (0) 0 (0) (0)
2014 (1) (0) 0 0 (1)
2015 (1) (0) 0 0 (1)
2016 (1) (0) 0 (0) (1)
2017 (1) (0) 0 0 (1)

DCF Valuation Parameters

Key Assumptions

  • Discount Rate (WACC): - (selected: -)
  • Long-Term Growth Rate: - (selected: -)
  • Terminal EV/EBITDA Multiple: 5.1x (based on peer average)

Valuation Summary

Valuation Method Fair Price (USD) Potential Upside
5-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 0.0%
10-Year DCF (Growth) 0.00 0.0%
5-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%
10-Year DCF (EBITDA) 0.00 -100.0%

Enterprise Value Breakdown

  • 5-Year Model: $(66)M
  • 10-Year Model: $(68)M

Investment Conclusion

Is Eco-Tek Group Inc (ETEK) a buy or a sell? Eco-Tek Group Inc is definitely a buy. Based on our DCF analysis, Eco-Tek Group Inc (ETEK) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of 0.0%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.

Key investment drivers include:

  • Expanding profit margins (from -308% to -100%)
  • Strong free cash flow generation

Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $0.00.