As of May 22, 2025, Escape Hunt PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $0.00 per share. With the current market price at $28.50, this represents a potential upside of -829.1%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $0.00 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $0.00 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -898.2% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -829.1% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 5.5% - 7.2% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $3 million in 12-2020 to $3 million by 12-2030, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately 0.0%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2020 | 3 | 46% |
| 12-2021 | 2 | -10% |
| 12-2022 | 2 | 2% |
| 12-2023 | 2 | 2% |
| 12-2024 | 3 | 2% |
| 12-2025 | 3 | 2% |
| 12-2026 | 3 | 2% |
| 12-2027 | 3 | 2% |
| 12-2028 | 3 | 2% |
| 12-2029 | 3 | 4% |
| 12-2030 | 3 | 2% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from -248% in 12-2020 to -239% by 12-2030, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 12-2020 | (7) | -248% |
| 12-2021 | (6) | -245% |
| 12-2022 | (6) | -244% |
| 12-2023 | (6) | -243% |
| 12-2024 | (6) | -241% |
| 12-2025 | (6) | -240% |
| 12-2026 | (6) | -240% |
| 12-2027 | (6) | -240% |
| 12-2028 | (7) | -239% |
| 12-2029 | (7) | -239% |
| 12-2030 | (7) | -239% |
with a 5-year average of $2 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 106% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 12-2021 | 2 |
| 12-2022 | 3 |
| 12-2023 | 2 |
| 12-2024 | 3 |
| 12-2025 | 3 |
| 12-2026 | 3 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 32 |
| Days Inventory | 7 |
| Days Payables | 270 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6M/2021 | (2) | (0) | 1 | 0 | (3) |
| 2022 | (3) | (0) | 3 | 0 | (6) |
| 2023 | (4) | (0) | 3 | (0) | (6) |
| 2024 | (3) | (0) | 3 | 0 | (6) |
| 2025 | (3) | (0) | 3 | 0 | (6) |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -898.2% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 0.00 | -829.1% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 0.00 | -100.0% |
Is Escape Hunt PLC (ESC.L) a buy or a sell? Escape Hunt PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Escape Hunt PLC (ESC.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -829.1%. The company's strong projected growth in revenue and profitability, coupled with consistent capital expenditure, supports our positive outlook on its intrinsic value.
Key investment drivers include:
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $28.50.