What is ENBL's Intrinsic value?

Enable Midstream Partners LP (ENBL) Intrinsic Value Analysis

Executive Summary

As of June 1, 2025, Enable Midstream Partners LP's estimated intrinsic value ranges from $1.92 to $24.06 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.

Valuation Method Fair Value (USD) Implied Upside/Downside
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) $10.34 +46.7%
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) $9.12 +29.3%
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) $1.92 -72.8%
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) $9.49 +34.6%
Earnings Power Value $24.06 +241.2%

Is Enable Midstream Partners LP (ENBL) undervalued or overvalued?

With the current market price at $7.05, the stock appears to be significantly undervalued.

Understanding Intrinsic Value

Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Enable Midstream Partners LP's intrinsic value, including:

  1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF): Values the company based on projected future cash flows
  2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM): Values the company based on expected future dividend payments
  3. Earnings Power Value (EPV): Values the company based on its current earnings power, assuming no growth

Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)

The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.

WACC Component Low High
Long-term bond rate 3.2% 3.7%
Equity market risk premium 4.2% 5.2%
Adjusted beta 1.29 1.44
Cost of equity 8.7% 11.7%
Cost of debt 4.0% 5.5%
Tax rate 0.1% 0.2%
Debt/Equity ratio 1.37 1.37
After-tax WACC 6.0% 8.1%

Valuation Methods

1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Valuation

Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:

  • Forecast Period: 5-year DCF and 10-year DCF
  • Terminal Growth Rate: 0.0% (range: 3.0% - 5.0%)
  • Discount Rate: 7.0% (range: 0.0% - 9.3%)

Key Projections:

  • Revenue growth from $2,463 (FY12-2020) to $3,211 (FY12-2030)
  • Net profit margin expansion from 3% to 3%
  • Capital expenditures maintained at approximately 15% of revenue
DCF Model Fair Value Enterprise Value % from Terminal Value
5-Year Growth $9 $7,940M 75.2%
10-Year Growth $10 $8,473M 55.7%
5-Year EBITDA $7 $7,185M 72.5%
10-Year EBITDA $9 $7,930M 52.6%

2. Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:

Multi-Stage DDM:

  • Current payout ratio: 69.3%
  • Stable payout ratio: 90.0%
  • Growth transition: 5 years
  • Cost of equity: 10.2%
  • Long-term growth rate: 0.5%
  • Fair value: $1.92 (-72.8% from current price)

Stable DDM:

  • Stable payout ratio: 70% (Low) to 90% (High)
  • Cost of equity: 11.7% (Low) to 8.7% (High)
  • Long-term growth rate: 0.0% (Low) to 1.0% (High)
  • Fair value range: $6 to $13
  • Selected fair value: $9.49 (34.6% from current price)

3. Earnings Power Value (EPV)

EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.

EPV Component Value
Normalized Earnings $992M
Discount Rate (WACC) 8.1% - 6.0%
Enterprise Value $12,249M - $16,643M
Net Debt $3,968M
Equity Value $8,281M - $12,675M
Outstanding Shares 436M
Fair Value $19 - $29
Selected Fair Value $24.06

Key Financial Metrics

Metric Value
Market Capitalization $3071M
Enterprise Value $7039M
Trailing P/E 6.63
Forward P/E 28.85
Trailing EV/EBITDA 7.40
Current Dividend Yield 1051.90%
Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) -8.34%
Debt-to-Equity Ratio 1.37

Investment Decision Framework

To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:

  1. Forecast Certainty: DCF methods rely on long-term projections, while earnings power value focuses on current normalized earnings
  2. Business Model Alignment: Dividend models are more appropriate for mature companies with established dividend policies
  3. Historical Accuracy: How well each method has predicted fair value historically

Valuation Weight Matrix

Valuation Method Weight Weighted Value
Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) 30% $3.10
Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) 25% $2.28
Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) 20% $0.38
Dividend Discount Model (Stable) 15% $1.42
Earnings Power Value 10% $2.41
Weighted Average 100% $9.60

Investment Conclusion

Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Enable Midstream Partners LP's weighted average intrinsic value is $9.60, which is approximately 36.1% above the current market price of $7.05.

Key investment considerations:

  • Strong projected earnings growth (3% to 3% margin)
  • Consistent cash flow generation

Given these factors, we believe Enable Midstream Partners LP is currently significantly undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.