As of May 23, 2025, Electra Private Equity PLC has a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) derived fair value of $33.48 per share. With the current market price at $59.60, this represents a potential upside of -43.8%.
| Key Metrics | Value |
|---|---|
| DCF Fair Value (5-year) | $32.65 |
| DCF Fair Value (10-year) | $33.48 |
| Potential Upside (5-year) | -45.2% |
| Potential Upside (10-year) | -43.8% |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 7.7% - 9.6% |
Revenue is projected to grow from $77 million in 09-2021 to $1 million by 09-2031, representing a compound annual growth rate of approximately -35.2%.
| Fiscal Year | Revenue (USD millions) | Growth |
|---|---|---|
| 09-2021 | 77 | 234% |
| 09-2022 | 1 | -99% |
| 09-2023 | 1 | 2% |
| 09-2024 | 1 | 2% |
| 09-2025 | 1 | 3% |
| 09-2026 | 1 | 5% |
| 09-2027 | 1 | 2% |
| 09-2028 | 1 | 2% |
| 09-2029 | 1 | 2% |
| 09-2030 | 1 | 2% |
| 09-2031 | 1 | 2% |
Net profit margin is expected to improve from 86% in 09-2021 to 86% by 09-2031, driven by operational efficiency and economies of scale.
| Fiscal Year | Net Profit (USD millions) | Profit Margin |
|---|---|---|
| 09-2021 | 66 | 86% |
| 09-2022 | 1 | 86% |
| 09-2023 | 1 | 86% |
| 09-2024 | 1 | 86% |
| 09-2025 | 1 | 86% |
| 09-2026 | 1 | 86% |
| 09-2027 | 1 | 86% |
| 09-2028 | 1 | 86% |
| 09-2029 | 1 | 86% |
| 09-2030 | 1 | 86% |
| 09-2031 | 1 | 86% |
with a 5-year average of $0 million. Projected CapEx is expected to maintain at approximately 0% of revenue.
Depreciation is based on an average useful life of 5 years for capital assets.
| Fiscal Year | D&A (USD millions) |
|---|---|
| 09-2022 | 0 |
| 09-2023 | 0 |
| 09-2024 | 0 |
| 09-2025 | 0 |
| 09-2026 | 0 |
| 09-2027 | 0 |
Net working capital is expected to increase gradually, with projected changes affecting free cash flow.
| Components | Average Days |
|---|---|
| Days Receivables | 2 |
| Days Inventory | 0 |
| Days Payables | 0 |
| Fiscal Year | EBITDA | Tax | CapEx | Change in NWC | FCF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 1 | 0 | 0 | (1) | 2 |
| 2023 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2024 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 2025 | 1 | 0 | 0 | (0) | 1 |
| 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Valuation Method | Fair Price (USD) | Potential Upside |
|---|---|---|
| 5-Year DCF (Growth) | 32.65 | -45.2% |
| 10-Year DCF (Growth) | 33.48 | -43.8% |
| 5-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 17.67 | -70.3% |
| 10-Year DCF (EBITDA) | 22.32 | -62.5% |
Is Electra Private Equity PLC (ELTA.L) a buy or a sell? Electra Private Equity PLC is definitely a sell. Based on our DCF analysis, Electra Private Equity PLC (ELTA.L) appears to be overvalued with upside potential of -43.8%.
Investors should consider reducing exposure at the current market price of $59.60.