As of December 15, 2025, Electra Gruppen AB (publ)'s estimated intrinsic value ranges from $106.33 to $370.18 per share, depending on the valuation methodology applied.
| Valuation Method | Fair Value (USD) | Implied Upside/Downside |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | $134.62 | +114.0% |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | $131.50 | +109.1% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | $106.33 | +69.0% |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | $202.64 | +222.2% |
| Earnings Power Value | $370.18 | +488.5% |
Is Electra Gruppen AB (publ) (ELEC.ST) undervalued or overvalued?
With the current market price at $62.90, the stock appears to be significantly undervalued.
Intrinsic value represents the "true" worth of a company based on its fundamentals rather than market sentiment. We've employed multiple methodologies to triangulate Electra Gruppen AB (publ)'s intrinsic value, including:
The cost of capital is a critical factor in valuation models, representing the required return for investors.
| WACC Component | Low | High |
|---|---|---|
| Long-term bond rate | 0.6% | 1.1% |
| Equity market risk premium | 5.2% | 6.2% |
| Adjusted beta | 1.02 | 1.1 |
| Cost of equity | 6.0% | 8.5% |
| Cost of debt | 4.0% | 4.5% |
| Tax rate | 22.2% | 22.7% |
| Debt/Equity ratio | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| After-tax WACC | 5.3% | 7.3% |
Our DCF model projects cash flows over 5-year and 10-year horizons, with the following key assumptions:
| DCF Model | Fair Value | Enterprise Value | % from Terminal Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Year Growth | $132 | $635M | 92.4% |
| 10-Year Growth | $135 | $651M | 81.6% |
| 5-Year EBITDA | $35 | $131M | 63.1% |
| 10-Year EBITDA | $46 | $188M | 36.1% |
The DDM values a company based on its expected future dividend payments. We used two approaches:
EPV assesses a company's value based on its current normalized earnings power, assuming no growth.
| EPV Component | Value |
|---|---|
| Normalized Earnings | $115M |
| Discount Rate (WACC) | 7.3% - 5.3% |
| Enterprise Value | $1,578M - $2,174M |
| Net Debt | $(49)M |
| Equity Value | $1,628M - $2,223M |
| Outstanding Shares | 5M |
| Fair Value | $313 - $427 |
| Selected Fair Value | $370.18 |
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | $327M |
| Enterprise Value | $277M |
| Trailing P/E | 13.01 |
| Forward P/E | 14.15 |
| Trailing EV/EBITDA | 2.95 |
| Current Dividend Yield | 484.65% |
| Dividend Growth Rate (5Y) | -2.63% |
| Debt-to-Equity Ratio | 0.31 |
To determine the most reliable intrinsic value estimate, we weigh each valuation method based on:
| Valuation Method | Weight | Weighted Value |
|---|---|---|
| Discounted Cash Flow (10Y) | 30% | $40.39 |
| Discounted Cash Flow (5Y) | 25% | $32.88 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Multi-Stage) | 20% | $21.27 |
| Dividend Discount Model (Stable) | 15% | $30.40 |
| Earnings Power Value | 10% | $37.02 |
| Weighted Average | 100% | $161.94 |
Based on our comprehensive valuation analysis, Electra Gruppen AB (publ)'s intrinsic value is $161.94, which is approximately 157.5% above the current market price of $62.90.
Key investment considerations:
Given these factors, we believe Electra Gruppen AB (publ) is currently significantly undervalued with the potential for long-term appreciation based on the company's growth trajectory and financial strength.